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Saint-Malo W vs Le Havre W

France France

Coupe de la Ligue Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Saint-Malo W play Le Havre W in the Coupe de la Ligue Women. Saint-Malo W are favorites here. Recently, Saint-Malo W averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. Le Havre W averaged 1.52 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. In past meetings, Saint-Malo W won 0, Le Havre W won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Nov 14, 2025 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Saint-Malo W and 1.00 for Le Havre W. This points to a Saint-Malo W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Saint-Malo W
25%
Draws
15%
Le Havre W
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Saint-Malo W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Saint-Malo W picked up more points recently compared to Le Havre W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Saint-Malo W Clean Sheet 23%
Le Havre W Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saint-Malo W Le Havre W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 15 10
Draws 4 6
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.5 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.57 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 14, 2025 Coupe de la Ligue Women
Saint-Malo W vs Le Havre W
1:3
Aug 13, 2025 Club Friendly Women
Le Havre W vs Saint-Malo W
5:0
Aug 16, 2024 Club Friendly Women
Saint-Malo W vs Le Havre W
0:0
Apr 17, 2022 Seconde Ligue Women
Saint-Malo W vs Le Havre W
1:1
Jan 8, 2022 Coupe de France Women
Saint-Malo W vs Le Havre W
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saint-Malo W 59 / 100
Le Havre W 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saint-Malo W Le Havre W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saint-Malo W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Saint-Malo W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Saint-Malo W attacking → ← attacking Le Havre W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saint-Malo W scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Le Havre W let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Saint-Malo W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Le Havre W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 36
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Dijon W440015:212
2Metz W430111:59
3Strasbourg W42024:96
4Auxerre W41039:93
5Reims W40041:150
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Thonon Evian W33004:28
2Nice W31025:24
3St Etienne W31026:83
4Grenoble W31023:63
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Marseille W33007:48
2Montpellier W32017:37
3Toulouse W31022:63
4Rodez AF W30032:50
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Lens W33005:19
2Fleury 91 W320110:46
3Le Mans W31025:83
4Lille W30032:90
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Nantes W33009:38
2Le Havre W32016:26
3Saint-Malo W31026:54
4Guingamp W30031:120