Sport Picks
Saint Martin vs Bahamas Prediction & H2H Stats
North & Central America
CONCACAF Nations League Bethlehem Soccer Stadium, Upper Bethlehem 
AI Match Summary
Saint Martin host Bahamas in the CONCACAF Nations League. Saint Martin go into this one as the clear favorite. Saint Martin have averaged 2.07 scored and 1.48 conceded recently, against Bahamas's 1 scored and 3.39 conceded. Past meetings favor Saint Martin slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 23, 2026, ending 0:8. The numbers (3.19 xG vs 1.00) point toward Saint Martin. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Saint Martin lately — more wins on the board than Bahamas.
- Model gives Saint Martin a 85% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Saint Martin | Bahamas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 2.07 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 3.39 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.19 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bahamas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 96% of 28 matches.
Games between these two average 8.00 goals.
Away concern: Bahamas has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
Saint Martin found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).
