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Saint-Pauloise FC vs Marsouins Prediction & H2H Stats

Réunion Réunion

Regionale 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Regionale 1 game between Saint-Pauloise FC and Marsouins finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saint-Pauloise FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Saint-Pauloise FC
15%
Draws
8%
Marsouins
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saint-Pauloise FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Saint-Pauloise FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Saint-Pauloise FC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Saint-Pauloise FC Clean Sheet 20%
Marsouins Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saint-Pauloise FC Marsouins
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 17 4
Draws 8 6
Losses 7 20
Goals Scored 1.53 0.57
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 21, 2025 Regionale 1
Saint-Pauloise FC vs Marsouins
4:0
Mar 23, 2025 Regionale 1
Marsouins vs Saint-Pauloise FC
1:0
Nov 11, 2022 Regionale 1
Marsouins vs Saint-Pauloise FC
0:2
Jul 10, 2022 Regionale 1
Saint-Pauloise FC vs Marsouins
0:0
Dec 6, 2020 Regionale 1
Marsouins vs Saint-Pauloise FC
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saint-Pauloise FC 85 / 100
Marsouins 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saint-Pauloise FC Marsouins

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saint-Pauloise FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marsouins's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Saint-Pauloise FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Marsouins registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Saint-Pauloise FC found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

Saint-Pauloise FC VS Marsouins
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 3
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Saint-Pauloise FC

(Home)
29 Nov
Laval
6 : 0
Saint-Pauloise FC
21 Nov
Saint-Pauloise FC
4 : 0
Marsouins
16 Nov
Saint-Pauloise FC
1 : 0
Dominicaine
09 Nov
Riviere des Galets
1 : 3
Saint-Pauloise FC
02 Nov
Saint-Pauloise FC
2 : 3
Saint-Pierroise
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Marsouins

(Away)
21 Nov
Saint-Pauloise FC
4 : 0
Marsouins
09 Nov
Marsouins
1 : 6
Excelsior
02 Nov
Dominicaine
3 : 0
Marsouins
19 Oct
Marsouins
1 : 1
Saint Louis
12 Oct
Piton Saint-Leu
2 : 0
Marsouins
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