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Saint-Pierroise vs Excelsior

Réunion Réunion

Regionale 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Regionale 1 game between Saint-Pierroise and Excelsior finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Excelsior.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Saint-Pierroise
15%
Draws
46%
Excelsior
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Excelsior

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Saint-Pierroise come out ahead of Excelsior on wins alone.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Excelsior taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Saint-Pierroise Clean Sheet 20%
Excelsior Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saint-Pierroise Excelsior
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 18
Draws 6 9
Losses 5 3
Goals Scored 1.53 2.13
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2025 Regionale 1
Saint-Pierroise vs Excelsior
1:2
Jun 8, 2025 Regionale 1
Excelsior vs Saint-Pierroise
1:3
Sep 22, 2024 Regionale 1
Excelsior vs Saint-Pierroise
2:1
May 12, 2024 Regionale 1
Saint-Pierroise vs Excelsior
1:1
Oct 1, 2023 Regionale 1
Saint-Pierroise vs Excelsior
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saint-Pierroise 20 / 100
Excelsior 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saint-Pierroise Excelsior

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Excelsior Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saint-Pierroise's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Saint-Pierroise has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Excelsior conceded in 47% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Saint-Pierroise VS Excelsior
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Saint-Pierroise

(Home)
23 Nov
Saint-Pierroise
2 : 0
Riviere des Galets
09 Nov
Tamponnaise
0 : 0
Saint-Pierroise
02 Nov
Saint-Pauloise FC
2 : 3
Saint-Pierroise
19 Oct
Saint-Pierroise
1 : 2
Excelsior
12 Oct
Dominicaine
0 : 2
Saint-Pierroise
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Excelsior

(Away)
23 Nov
Excelsior
4 : 0
Saint-Louisienne
09 Nov
Marsouins
1 : 6
Excelsior
02 Nov
Excelsior
3 : 0
Riviere des Galets
19 Oct
Saint-Pierroise
1 : 2
Excelsior
12 Oct
Excelsior
0 : 2
Saint-Pauloise FC
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