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Saint Priest vs Chateauroux - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

National 1 - Group C Stade Jacques Joly, Saint-Priest
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Perret R.
60' Event
Chapuis M.
Own Goal
65'
Diarra D.

AI Match Summary

Saint Priest in this National 1 - Group C matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Saint Priest.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Saint Priest
35%
Draws
16%
Chateauroux
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Saint Priest

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Saint Priest lately — more wins on the board than Chateauroux.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Saint Priest taking it.
  • Regular National 1 - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Saint Priest Clean Sheet 20%
Chateauroux Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saint Priest Chateauroux
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 6 3
Draws 12 10
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.3 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 National 1 - Group C
Saint Priest vs Chateauroux
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saint Priest Compare

Top Goalscorer Perret R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Chateauroux Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saint Priest 76 / 100
Chateauroux 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saint Priest Chateauroux

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saint Priest Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chateauroux has conceded goals in 89% of their last 27 outings.

Saint Priest scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Saint Priest has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Saint Priest VS Chateauroux
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 25%
63% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Saint Priest

(Home)
11 Nov
Saint Priest
2 : 4
Rumilly Vallieres
07 Nov
Istres
0 : 0
Saint Priest
31 Oct
Saint Priest
2 : 1
Chateauroux
17 Oct
Limonest
1 : 1
Saint Priest
03 Oct
Saint Priest
2 : 2
Touraine
Page 1 of 6

Chateauroux

(Away)
06 Nov
Chateauroux
1 : 1
Nimes
31 Oct
Saint Priest
2 : 1
Chateauroux
16 Oct
Chateauroux
4 : 7
Rumilly Vallieres
02 Oct
Istres
0 : 0
Chateauroux
11 Sept
Chateauroux
0 : 1
Limonest
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nimes 10 6 3 1 21:7 21
2 Rumilly Vallieres 9 6 0 3 31:14 18
3 Toulon 10 4 4 2 10:7 16
4 Frejus Saint Raphael 9 5 1 3 19:13 16
5 Hauts Lyonnais 10 4 4 2 12:10 16
6 Troyes II 10 5 1 4 12:17 16
7 Hyeres 10 3 6 1 12:6 15
8 Touraine 8 4 3 1 8:4 15
9 Andrezieux 9 3 4 2 12:10 13
10 Saint Priest 10 2 5 3 12:17 11
11 GOAL FC 8 2 4 2 11:9 10
12 Limonest 9 1 5 3 10:14 8
13 Lyon - La Duchere 9 2 2 5 11:18 8
14 Bourges 18 9 1 4 4 5:11 7
15 Canet Roussillon 9 1 3 5 4:15 6
16 Istres 9 0 5 4 2:14 5
17 Chateauroux 8 0 4 4 7:13 4
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)