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Saint-Pryve vs Aire-sur-la-Lys

France France

Coupe de France 2005/2006
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Saint-Pryve play Aire-sur-la-Lys in the Coupe de France 2005/2006. Saint-Pryve are favorites here. Recently, Saint-Pryve averaged 1.65 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. Aire-sur-la-Lys averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. In past meetings, Saint-Pryve won 1, Aire-sur-la-Lys won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Dec 10, 2005 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Saint-Pryve and 1.00 for Aire-sur-la-Lys. This points to a Saint-Pryve double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Saint-Pryve
25%
Draws
15%
Aire-sur-la-Lys
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Saint-Pryve

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Saint-Pryve picked up more points recently compared to Aire-sur-la-Lys.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Saint-Pryve Clean Sheet 23%
Aire-sur-la-Lys Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saint-Pryve Aire-sur-la-Lys
Matches Played 31 12
Wins 13 6
Draws 6 0
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.65 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 10, 2005 Coupe de France
Saint-Pryve vs Aire-sur-la-Lys
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saint-Pryve 59 / 100
Aire-sur-la-Lys 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saint-Pryve Aire-sur-la-Lys

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saint-Pryve Win (1)
Secondary Pick Saint-Pryve & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Saint-Pryve attacking → ← attacking Aire-sur-la-Lys

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saint-Pryve scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Aire-sur-la-Lys let in goals in 75% of their last 12 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Saint-Pryve went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Aire-sur-la-Lys lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 18
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00