Sport Picks

North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League 2022/2023

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

1 - 1

Bahamas

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines play Bahamas in the CONCACAF Nations League 2022/2023. Saint Vincent and the Grenadines are favorites here. Recently, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines averaged 1.88 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. Bahamas averaged 0.9 goals scored and 3.38 conceded. In past meetings, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines won 1, Bahamas won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 27, 2023 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.17 for Saint Vincent and the Grenadines and 0.73 for Bahamas. This points to a Saint Vincent and the Grenadines double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

21%

Draws

17%

Bahamas

Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines picked up more points recently compared to Bahamas.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.17 vs 0.73 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 67%

Over 3.5 Goals 40%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Clean Sheet 27%

Bahamas Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 79%

Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Saint Vincent and the Grenadines	Bahamas
Matches Played	32	29
Wins	14	3
Draws	6	4
Losses	12	22
Goals Scored	1.88	0.9
Goals Conceded	1.47	3.38
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	0.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	4.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines vs Bahamas

Possession: 47% - 59% Cards: 2 - 1

1:1

Jun 3, 2022 CONCACAF Nations League

Bahamas vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

Possession: 46% - 51% Cards: 1 - 1

1:0

Nov 23, 2006 Caribbean Cup

Bahamas vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

Possession: 47% - 51% Cards: 0 - 4

2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 1

Bahamas Compare

Top Goalscorer Joseph M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.3

Avg xA / game 0.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 61 / 100

Bahamas 17 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Bahamas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Win (1)

Secondary Pick Saint Vincent and the Grenadines & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +14.7%

1.85

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.64

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines attacking → ← attacking Bahamas

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines scored in 91% of their last 32 games.

Bahamas let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Bahamas lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 13

2.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.33

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 4.33

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Cuba	6	5	1	11:3	15
2	Guadeloupe	6	3	3	5:5	9
3	Antigua and Barbuda	6	3	3	5:7	9
4	Barbados	6	1	5	3:9	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Haiti	6	5	1	0	22:5	16
2	Guyana	6	3	1	2	8:14	10
3	Bermuda	6	1	1	4	7:10	4
4	Montserrat	6	1	1	4	6:14	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nicaragua	6	4	2	0	15:5	14
2	Trinidad & Tobago	6	4	1	1	12:4	13
3	Bahamas	6	1	1	4	2:11	4
4	Saint Vincent and the Grenadines	6	0	2	4	5:14	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Guatemala	6	4	1	1	11:4	13
2	French Guiana	6	3	2	1	8:8	11
3	Dominican Republic	6	2	2	2	8:7	8
4	Belize	6	0	1	5	2:10	1