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Sainte-Genevieve vs Arras

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National 2 - Group D 2018/2019
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AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group D 2018/2019 game between Sainte-Genevieve and Arras finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sainte-Genevieve.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Sainte-Genevieve
20%
Draws
29%
Arras
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sainte-Genevieve

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Sainte-Genevieve carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Sainte-Genevieve Clean Sheet 20%
Arras Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sainte-Genevieve Arras
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 13 4
Draws 10 11
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.08 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.16 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2019 National 2 - Group D
Sainte-Genevieve vs Arras
4:2
Oct 6, 2018 National 2 - Group D
Arras vs Sainte-Genevieve
0:0
Mar 7, 2018 National 1 - Group C
Sainte-Genevieve vs Arras
2:1
Sep 16, 2017 National 1 - Group C
Arras vs Sainte-Genevieve
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sainte-Genevieve 36 / 100
Arras 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sainte-Genevieve Arras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arras Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Arras conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Sainte-Genevieve remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Arras registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sainte-Genevieve VS Arras
1 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sainte-Genevieve

(Home)
03 Jun
Furiani Agliani
1 : 0
Sainte-Genevieve
27 May
Sainte-Genevieve
0 : 0
Fleury-Merogis
13 May
Sainte-Genevieve
3 : 0
St. Maur Lusitanos
06 May
FC Bobigny 93
5 : 0
Sainte-Genevieve
29 Apr
Sainte-Genevieve
1 : 0
Belfort
Page 1 of 8

Arras

(Away)
16 Nov
Arras
0 : 2
Valenciennes
14 Feb
Loon Plage
2 : 1
Arras
07 Feb
Arras
2 : 1
St Quentin
25 May
Fleury-Merogis
5 : 4
Arras
18 May
Arras
3 : 3
Haguenau
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Creteil 30 17 8 5 55:21 59
2 St. Maur Lusitanos 30 13 10 7 55:37 49
3 Sedan 30 12 11 7 39:29 47
4 Lille II 30 13 11 6 48:36 46
5 Sainte-Genevieve 30 13 6 11 38:39 45
6 IC Croix 30 13 4 13 38:44 43
7 Schiltigheim 30 11 9 10 40:38 42
8 Epinal 30 11 9 10 33:37 42
9 Reims II 30 11 8 11 34:36 41
10 Fleury-Merogis 30 9 12 9 48:50 39
11 Lens II 30 10 7 13 46:44 37
12 Belfort 30 8 11 11 24:31 35
13 FC Bobigny 93 30 9 8 13 33:44 34
14 Haguenau 30 7 10 13 35:42 31
15 Feignies-Aulnoye 30 7 10 13 33:43 31
16 Arras 30 3 12 15 35:63 21
Promotion - National 2019/2020 (Main)