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Sainte-Marienne vs Piton Saint-Leu

Réunion Réunion

Regionale 1 2023 Stade Nelson Mandela, Sainte-Marie
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AI Match Summary

The Regionale 1 2023 game between Sainte-Marienne and Piton Saint-Leu finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Sainte-Marienne
15%
Draws
85%
Piton Saint-Leu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Piton Saint-Leu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Sainte-Marienne haven't matched Piton Saint-Leu's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Piton Saint-Leu's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Regionale 1 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Sainte-Marienne Clean Sheet 20%
Piton Saint-Leu Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sainte-Marienne Piton Saint-Leu
Matches Played 30 41
Wins 6 12
Draws 5 13
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 0.73 0.8
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2023 Regionale 1
Sainte-Marienne vs Piton Saint-Leu
1:1
May 21, 2023 Regionale 1
Piton Saint-Leu vs Sainte-Marienne
2:2
Oct 13, 2021 Regionale 1
Sainte-Marienne vs Piton Saint-Leu
3:1
Sep 12, 2021 Regionale 1
Piton Saint-Leu vs Sainte-Marienne
2:3
Dec 9, 2020 Regionale 1
Piton Saint-Leu vs Sainte-Marienne
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sainte-Marienne 10 / 100
Piton Saint-Leu 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sainte-Marienne Piton Saint-Leu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Piton Saint-Leu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Sainte-Marienne scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Piton Saint-Leu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 41 matches.

Piton Saint-Leu lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Piton Saint-Leu
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sainte-Marienne

(Home)
26 Nov
Tamponnaise
6 : 1
Sainte-Marienne
19 Nov
Sainte-Marienne
1 : 3
Saint-Pierroise
12 Nov
Sainte-Suzanne
4 : 0
Sainte-Marienne
05 Nov
Sainte-Marienne
0 : 3
Saint Louis
22 Oct
Saint-Pauloise FC
6 : 1
Sainte-Marienne
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Piton Saint-Leu

(Away)
23 Nov
Piton Saint-Leu
1 : 0
Saint-Denis
09 Nov
Sainte Rose
4 : 1
Piton Saint-Leu
02 Nov
Piton Saint-Leu
1 : 0
Trois Bassins
19 Oct
Saint-Louisienne
2 : 0
Piton Saint-Leu
12 Oct
Piton Saint-Leu
2 : 0
Marsouins
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