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Sainte-Marienne vs Saint-Pierroise

Réunion Réunion

Regionale 1 2023 Stade Nelson Mandela, Sainte-Marie
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AI Match Summary

The Regionale 1 2023 game between Sainte-Marienne and Saint-Pierroise finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saint-Pierroise.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Sainte-Marienne
15%
Draws
85%
Saint-Pierroise
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saint-Pierroise

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Saint-Pierroise carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Saint-Pierroise a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Saint-Pierroise have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Sainte-Marienne Clean Sheet 20%
Saint-Pierroise Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sainte-Marienne Saint-Pierroise
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 21
Draws 5 6
Losses 19 5
Goals Scored 0.73 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.27 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2023 Regionale 1
Sainte-Marienne vs Saint-Pierroise
1:3
Jun 24, 2023 Regionale 1
Saint-Pierroise vs Sainte-Marienne
3:0
Sep 11, 2022 Regionale 1
Sainte-Marienne vs Saint-Pierroise
0:1
May 21, 2022 Regionale 1
Saint-Pierroise vs Sainte-Marienne
1:0
Dec 6, 2020 Regionale 1
Sainte-Marienne vs Saint-Pierroise
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sainte-Marienne 10 / 100
Saint-Pierroise 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sainte-Marienne Saint-Pierroise

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saint-Pierroise Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saint-Pierroise let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Sainte-Marienne scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Saint-Pierroise lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Saint-Pierroise
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sainte-Marienne

(Home)
26 Nov
Tamponnaise
6 : 1
Sainte-Marienne
19 Nov
Sainte-Marienne
1 : 3
Saint-Pierroise
12 Nov
Sainte-Suzanne
4 : 0
Sainte-Marienne
05 Nov
Sainte-Marienne
0 : 3
Saint Louis
22 Oct
Saint-Pauloise FC
6 : 1
Sainte-Marienne
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Saint-Pierroise

(Away)
23 Nov
Saint-Pierroise
2 : 0
Riviere des Galets
09 Nov
Tamponnaise
0 : 0
Saint-Pierroise
02 Nov
Saint-Pauloise FC
2 : 3
Saint-Pierroise
19 Oct
Saint-Pierroise
1 : 2
Excelsior
12 Oct
Dominicaine
0 : 2
Saint-Pierroise
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