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Sainte Rose vs Saint-Denis

Réunion Réunion

Regionale 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Regionale 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Sainte Rose
35%
Draws
32%
Saint-Denis
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Saint-Denis lately — more wins on the board than Sainte Rose.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Regionale 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Sainte Rose Clean Sheet 20%
Saint-Denis Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sainte Rose Saint-Denis
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 17
Draws 10 6
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.23 1.97
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2025 Regionale 1
Sainte Rose vs Saint-Denis
0:0
Jun 6, 2025 Regionale 1
Saint-Denis vs Sainte Rose
2:1
Nov 24, 2024 Regionale 1
Saint-Denis vs Sainte Rose
0:2
Mar 17, 2024 Regionale 1
Sainte Rose vs Saint-Denis
0:4
Jul 17, 2022 Regionale 1
Saint-Denis vs Sainte Rose
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sainte Rose 32 / 100
Saint-Denis 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sainte Rose Saint-Denis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saint-Denis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sainte Rose scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Saint-Denis conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Sainte Rose remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sainte Rose VS Saint-Denis
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sainte Rose

(Home)
23 Nov
Saint Louis
2 : 2
Sainte Rose
09 Nov
Sainte Rose
4 : 1
Piton Saint-Leu
02 Nov
Jeanne d'Arc
1 : 2
Sainte Rose
19 Oct
Sainte Rose
0 : 0
Saint-Denis
12 Oct
Tamponnaise
2 : 0
Sainte Rose
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Saint-Denis

(Away)
23 Nov
Piton Saint-Leu
1 : 0
Saint-Denis
09 Nov
Saint-Denis
2 : 2
Jeanne d'Arc
02 Nov
Tamponnaise
0 : 1
Saint-Denis
19 Oct
Sainte Rose
0 : 0
Saint-Denis
12 Oct
Saint-Denis
4 : 0
Trois Bassins
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