Sport Picks
Saipa vs Ario Eslamshahr Prediction & H2H Stats
Iran
Azadegan League 2025/2026 
Match Events
90'
90'
Seifi A.
AI Match Summary
Saipa in this Azadegan League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Saipa.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saipa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ario Eslamshahr haven't matched Saipa's recent run of results.
- Saipa are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Saipa Clean Sheet 68%
Ario Eslamshahr Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Saipa | Ario Eslamshahr |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 18 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 12 |
| Losses | 5 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 0.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.58 | 0.61 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 21, 2026 Azadegan League
Saipa vs Ario Eslamshahr
1:0
Nov 27, 2025 Azadegan League
Ario Eslamshahr vs Saipa
0:1
Apr 29, 2025 Azadegan League
Saipa vs Ario Eslamshahr
1:1
Dec 14, 2024 Azadegan League
Ario Eslamshahr vs Saipa
0:1
Mar 16, 2024 Azadegan League
Ario Eslamshahr vs Saipa
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Saipa Compare
Top Goalscorer Seifi A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Ario Eslamshahr Compare
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Saipa 86 / 100
Ario Eslamshahr 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Saipa Ario Eslamshahr
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Saipa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recent resilience: Saipa stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Saipa found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).
Ario Eslamshahr has conceded goals in 55% of their last 31 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Saipa VS Ario Eslamshahr
1 Goals Scored 1
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Saipa
(Home) 28 Sept
Saipa
2 : 1 Niroye Zamini
22 Sept
Mes Kerman
0 : 1 Saipa
16 Sept
Saipa
2 : 0 Kara Gostar Shabestar
16 Jul
Saipa
1 : 0 Naft Bandar Abbas
11 Jul
Navad Urmia
0 : 2 Saipa
Page 1 of 7
28 Sept
Saipa
2 : 1 Niroye Zamini
16 Sept
Saipa
2 : 0 Kara Gostar Shabestar
16 Jul
Saipa
1 : 0 Naft Bandar Abbas
02 Jul
Saipa
1 : 0 Shahrdari Noshahr
21 Jun
Saipa
1 : 0 Ario Eslamshahr
Page 1 of 4
Ario Eslamshahr
(Away) 28 Sept
Ario Eslamshahr
2 : 0 Havadar SC
22 Sept
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 1 Ario Eslamshahr
16 Sept
Ario Eslamshahr
0 : 3 Naft Masjed-Soleyman
17 Jul
Mazandaran
1 : 2 Ario Eslamshahr
11 Jul
Ario Eslamshahr
1 : 1 Shenavarsazi Qeshm
Page 1 of 7
22 Sept
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 1 Ario Eslamshahr
17 Jul
Mazandaran
1 : 2 Ario Eslamshahr
03 Jul
Damash Gilan
1 : 1 Ario Eslamshahr
21 Jun
Saipa
1 : 0 Ario Eslamshahr
09 Jun
Niroye Zamini
0 : 0 Ario Eslamshahr
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mazandaran | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 48:17 | 69 |
| 2 | Mes Shahr Babak | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 41:14 | 68 |
| 3 | Sanat Naft | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 37:21 | 60 |
| 4 | Pars Janoobi Jam | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 44:22 | 60 |
| 5 | Saipa | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 30:18 | 59 |
| 6 | Havadar SC | 34 | 11 | 17 | 6 | 32:23 | 50 |
| 7 | Naft Bandar Abbas | 34 | 10 | 17 | 7 | 26:19 | 47 |
| 8 | Fard | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 24:15 | 46 |
| 9 | Mes Kerman | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 23:18 | 45 |
| 10 | Ario Eslamshahr | 34 | 9 | 16 | 9 | 19:18 | 43 |
| 11 | Besat Kermanshah | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 25:32 | 38 |
| 12 | Kara Gostar Shabestar | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 17:34 | 37 |
| 13 | Niroye Zamini | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 28:31 | 36 |
| 14 | Shenavarsazi Qeshm | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 23:36 | 35 |
| 15 | Naft Gachsaran | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 25:41 | 35 |
| 16 | Shahrdari Noshahr | 34 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 18:29 | 30 |
| 17 | Navad Urmia | 34 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 16:48 | 24 |
| 18 | Damash Gilan | 34 | 2 | 13 | 19 | 16:56 | 19 |
Promotion - Persian Gulf Pro League (Main)
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