Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Saipa vs Kara Gostar Shabestar

Iran Iran

Azadegan League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Azadegan League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Saipa
20%
Draws
32%
Kara Gostar Shabestar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Saipa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Kara Gostar Shabestar haven't matched Saipa's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Saipa's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Saipa Clean Sheet 68%
Kara Gostar Shabestar Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saipa Kara Gostar Shabestar
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 18 9
Draws 9 11
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.06 0.55
Goals Conceded 0.58 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.51
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Azadegan League
Saipa vs Kara Gostar Shabestar
2:0
May 14, 2026 Azadegan League
Saipa vs Kara Gostar Shabestar
0:0
Oct 6, 2025 Azadegan League
Kara Gostar Shabestar vs Saipa
0:1
Feb 6, 2025 Azadegan League
Kara Gostar Shabestar vs Saipa
2:1
Sep 23, 2024 Azadegan League
Saipa vs Kara Gostar Shabestar
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saipa 77 / 100
Kara Gostar Shabestar 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saipa Kara Gostar Shabestar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saipa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Saipa scored in 76% of their last 33 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Saipa stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Kara Gostar Shabestar conceded in 52% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Saipa VS Kara Gostar Shabestar
1 Goals Scored 0.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Saipa

(Home)
16 Sept
Saipa
2 : 0
Kara Gostar Shabestar
16 Jul
Saipa
1 : 0
Naft Bandar Abbas
11 Jul
Navad Urmia
0 : 2
Saipa
02 Jul
Saipa
1 : 0
Shahrdari Noshahr
27 Jun
Fard
2 : 1
Saipa
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Kara Gostar Shabestar

(Away)
16 Sept
Saipa
2 : 0
Kara Gostar Shabestar
16 Jul
Kara Gostar Shabestar
1 : 0
Shahrdari Noshahr
11 Jul
Mes Shahr Babak
0 : 0
Kara Gostar Shabestar
03 Jul
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 1
Kara Gostar Shabestar
27 Jun
Kara Gostar Shabestar
1 : 1
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazandaran 34 20 9 5 48:17 69
2 Mes Shahr Babak 34 19 11 4 41:14 68
3 Sanat Naft 34 16 12 6 37:21 60
4 Pars Janoobi Jam 34 16 12 6 44:22 60
5 Saipa 34 16 11 7 30:18 59
6 Havadar SC 34 11 17 6 32:23 50
7 Naft Bandar Abbas 34 10 17 7 26:19 47
8 Fard 34 10 16 8 24:15 46
9 Mes Kerman 34 10 15 9 23:18 45
10 Ario Eslamshahr 34 9 16 9 19:18 43
11 Besat Kermanshah 34 9 11 14 25:32 38
12 Kara Gostar Shabestar 34 9 10 15 17:34 37
13 Niroye Zamini 34 8 12 14 28:31 36
14 Shenavarsazi Qeshm 34 8 11 15 23:36 35
15 Naft Gachsaran 34 7 14 13 25:41 35
16 Shahrdari Noshahr 34 5 15 14 18:29 30
17 Navad Urmia 34 4 12 18 16:48 24
18 Damash Gilan 34 2 13 19 16:56 19
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