Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Saipa vs Kara Gostar Shabestar

Iran Iran

Azadegan League
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Gholibeigi M.
90' Event
Khodadadi A.

AI Match Summary

The Azadegan League game between Saipa and Kara Gostar Shabestar finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saipa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Saipa
20%
Draws
28%
Kara Gostar Shabestar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Saipa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Saipa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Saipa's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Saipa Clean Sheet 20%
Kara Gostar Shabestar Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saipa Kara Gostar Shabestar
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 16 9
Draws 7 10
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 1.04 0.54
Goals Conceded 0.61 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Azadegan League
Saipa vs Kara Gostar Shabestar
2:0
May 14, 2026 Azadegan League
Saipa vs Kara Gostar Shabestar
0:0
Oct 6, 2025 Azadegan League
Kara Gostar Shabestar vs Saipa
0:1
Feb 6, 2025 Azadegan League
Kara Gostar Shabestar vs Saipa
2:1
Sep 23, 2024 Azadegan League
Saipa vs Kara Gostar Shabestar
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saipa Compare

Top Goalscorer Gholibeigi M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Khodadadi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Kara Gostar Shabestar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.4
Avg xA / game 0.24

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saipa 67 / 100
Kara Gostar Shabestar 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saipa Kara Gostar Shabestar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saipa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saipa has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Saipa scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Kara Gostar Shabestar let in goals in 46% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Saipa VS Kara Gostar Shabestar
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Saipa

(Home)
22 Sept
Mes Kerman
0 : 1
Saipa
16 Sept
Saipa
2 : 0
Kara Gostar Shabestar
16 Jul
Saipa
1 : 0
Naft Bandar Abbas
11 Jul
Navad Urmia
0 : 2
Saipa
02 Jul
Saipa
1 : 0
Shahrdari Noshahr
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Kara Gostar Shabestar

(Away)
22 Sept
Kara Gostar Shabestar
0 : 0
Mes Rafsanjan
16 Sept
Saipa
2 : 0
Kara Gostar Shabestar
16 Jul
Kara Gostar Shabestar
1 : 0
Shahrdari Noshahr
11 Jul
Mes Shahr Babak
0 : 0
Kara Gostar Shabestar
03 Jul
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 1
Kara Gostar Shabestar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saipa 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
2 Fard 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Besat Kermanshah 2 1 1 0 3:0 4
4 Naft Bandar Abbas 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
5 Naft Masjed-Soleyman 2 1 0 1 3:1 3
6 Shahin Bandar Ameri 3 0 3 0 3:3 3
7 Shenavarsazi Qeshm 3 0 3 0 2:2 3
8 Niroye Zamini 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
9 Ario Eslamshahr 2 1 0 1 1:3 3
10 Mes Rafsanjan 2 0 2 0 0:0 2
11 Pars Janoobi Jam 2 0 2 0 0:0 2
12 Foolad Novin Ahvaz 3 0 2 1 4:5 2
13 Mes Kerman 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
14 Naft Gachsaran 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
15 Kara Gostar Shabestar 2 0 1 1 0:2 1
16 Havadar SC 2 0 1 1 0:3 1
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