Sport Picks
Saipa vs Mes Shahr Babak Prediction & H2H Stats
Iran
Azadegan League 2025/2026 
Match Events
81'
81'
Tarhani M.
Own Goal
AI Match Summary
Saipa in this Azadegan League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Saipa.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
35%
14%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Saipa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Mes Shahr Babak haven't matched Saipa's recent run of results.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Saipa taking it.
- Regular Azadegan League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Saipa Clean Sheet 68%
Mes Shahr Babak Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Saipa | Mes Shahr Babak |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 12 |
| Losses | 5 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.62 | 0.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 27, 2026 Azadegan League
Saipa vs Mes Shahr Babak
1:0
Oct 19, 2025 Azadegan League
Mes Shahr Babak vs Saipa
1:0
Feb 19, 2025 Azadegan League
Mes Shahr Babak vs Saipa
0:1
Oct 4, 2024 Azadegan League
Saipa vs Mes Shahr Babak
1:2
Apr 6, 2024 Azadegan League
Mes Shahr Babak vs Saipa
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Saipa 95 / 100
Mes Shahr Babak 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Saipa Mes Shahr Babak
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Saipa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: Saipa remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Attacking prowess: Saipa scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Mes Shahr Babak's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
Saipa VS Mes Shahr Babak
1.25 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Saipa
(Home) 28 Sept
Saipa
2 : 1 Niroye Zamini
22 Sept
Mes Kerman
0 : 1 Saipa
16 Sept
Saipa
2 : 0 Kara Gostar Shabestar
16 Jul
Saipa
1 : 0 Naft Bandar Abbas
11 Jul
Navad Urmia
0 : 2 Saipa
Page 1 of 6
28 Sept
Saipa
2 : 1 Niroye Zamini
16 Sept
Saipa
2 : 0 Kara Gostar Shabestar
16 Jul
Saipa
1 : 0 Naft Bandar Abbas
02 Jul
Saipa
1 : 0 Shahrdari Noshahr
21 Jun
Saipa
1 : 0 Ario Eslamshahr
Page 1 of 3
Mes Shahr Babak
(Away) 13 Sept
Mes Shahr Babak
1 : 1 Mazandaran
07 Sept
Mes Shahr Babak
1 : 2 Malavan
03 Sept
Fajr Sepasi
1 : 1 Mes Shahr Babak
29 Aug
Mes Shahr Babak
0 : 0 Sanat Naft
24 Aug
Zob Ahan
1 : 1 Mes Shahr Babak
Page 1 of 6
03 Sept
Fajr Sepasi
1 : 1 Mes Shahr Babak
24 Aug
Zob Ahan
1 : 1 Mes Shahr Babak
14 Aug
Esteghlal TEH
4 : 0 Mes Shahr Babak
16 Jul
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 2 Mes Shahr Babak
03 Jul
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
1 : 3 Mes Shahr Babak
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mazandaran | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 48:17 | 69 |
| 2 | Mes Shahr Babak | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 41:14 | 68 |
| 3 | Sanat Naft | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 37:21 | 60 |
| 4 | Pars Janoobi Jam | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 44:22 | 60 |
| 5 | Saipa | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 30:18 | 59 |
| 6 | Havadar SC | 34 | 11 | 17 | 6 | 32:23 | 50 |
| 7 | Naft Bandar Abbas | 34 | 10 | 17 | 7 | 26:19 | 47 |
| 8 | Fard | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 24:15 | 46 |
| 9 | Mes Kerman | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 23:18 | 45 |
| 10 | Ario Eslamshahr | 34 | 9 | 16 | 9 | 19:18 | 43 |
| 11 | Besat Kermanshah | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 25:32 | 38 |
| 12 | Kara Gostar Shabestar | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 17:34 | 37 |
| 13 | Niroye Zamini | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 28:31 | 36 |
| 14 | Shenavarsazi Qeshm | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 23:36 | 35 |
| 15 | Naft Gachsaran | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 25:41 | 35 |
| 16 | Shahrdari Noshahr | 34 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 18:29 | 30 |
| 17 | Navad Urmia | 34 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 16:48 | 24 |
| 18 | Damash Gilan | 34 | 2 | 13 | 19 | 16:56 | 19 |
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