Sport Picks
Saipa vs Shahrdari Noshahr Prediction & H2H Stats
Iran
Azadegan League 2025/2026 
Match Events
55'
55'
Shirzadi M.
Own Goal
AI Match Summary
The Azadegan League 2025/2026 game between Saipa and Shahrdari Noshahr finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saipa.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
30%
12%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Saipa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Saipa carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Saipa's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and Saipa have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Saipa Clean Sheet 20%
Shahrdari Noshahr Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Saipa | Shahrdari Noshahr |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 4 |
| Draws | 7 | 13 |
| Losses | 5 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 0.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.62 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 0.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 2, 2026 Azadegan League
Saipa vs Shahrdari Noshahr
1:0
Dec 13, 2025 Azadegan League
Shahrdari Noshahr vs Saipa
0:1
Mar 17, 2025 Azadegan League
Shahrdari Noshahr vs Saipa
1:0
Oct 29, 2024 Azadegan League
Saipa vs Shahrdari Noshahr
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Saipa 85 / 100
Shahrdari Noshahr 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Saipa Shahrdari Noshahr
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Saipa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Saipa went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Saipa scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Shahrdari Noshahr conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Saipa VS Shahrdari Noshahr
1 Goals Scored 0.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Saipa
(Home) 28 Sept
Saipa
2 : 1 Niroye Zamini
22 Sept
Mes Kerman
0 : 1 Saipa
16 Sept
Saipa
2 : 0 Kara Gostar Shabestar
16 Jul
Saipa
1 : 0 Naft Bandar Abbas
11 Jul
Navad Urmia
0 : 2 Saipa
Page 1 of 6
28 Sept
Saipa
2 : 1 Niroye Zamini
16 Sept
Saipa
2 : 0 Kara Gostar Shabestar
16 Jul
Saipa
1 : 0 Naft Bandar Abbas
02 Jul
Saipa
1 : 0 Shahrdari Noshahr
21 Jun
Saipa
1 : 0 Ario Eslamshahr
Page 1 of 3
Shahrdari Noshahr
(Away) 16 Jul
Kara Gostar Shabestar
1 : 0 Shahrdari Noshahr
11 Jul
Shahrdari Noshahr
1 : 1 Niroye Zamini
02 Jul
Saipa
1 : 0 Shahrdari Noshahr
27 Jun
Shahrdari Noshahr
1 : 1 Mes Kerman
21 Jun
Sanat Naft
1 : 1 Shahrdari Noshahr
Page 1 of 6
16 Jul
Kara Gostar Shabestar
1 : 0 Shahrdari Noshahr
02 Jul
Saipa
1 : 0 Shahrdari Noshahr
21 Jun
Sanat Naft
1 : 1 Shahrdari Noshahr
10 Jun
Naft Bandar Abbas
1 : 0 Shahrdari Noshahr
02 Jun
Ario Eslamshahr
1 : 1 Shahrdari Noshahr
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mazandaran | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 48:17 | 69 |
| 2 | Mes Shahr Babak | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 41:14 | 68 |
| 3 | Sanat Naft | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 37:21 | 60 |
| 4 | Pars Janoobi Jam | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 44:22 | 60 |
| 5 | Saipa | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 30:18 | 59 |
| 6 | Havadar SC | 34 | 11 | 17 | 6 | 32:23 | 50 |
| 7 | Naft Bandar Abbas | 34 | 10 | 17 | 7 | 26:19 | 47 |
| 8 | Fard | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 24:15 | 46 |
| 9 | Mes Kerman | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 23:18 | 45 |
| 10 | Ario Eslamshahr | 34 | 9 | 16 | 9 | 19:18 | 43 |
| 11 | Besat Kermanshah | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 25:32 | 38 |
| 12 | Kara Gostar Shabestar | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 17:34 | 37 |
| 13 | Niroye Zamini | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 28:31 | 36 |
| 14 | Shenavarsazi Qeshm | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 23:36 | 35 |
| 15 | Naft Gachsaran | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 25:41 | 35 |
| 16 | Shahrdari Noshahr | 34 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 18:29 | 30 |
| 17 | Navad Urmia | 34 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 16:48 | 24 |
| 18 | Damash Gilan | 34 | 2 | 13 | 19 | 16:56 | 19 |
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