Sport Picks

Iran

Azadegan League

Match Events

55'

Shirzadi M.

Own Goal

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Saipa host Shahrdari Noshahr in the Azadegan League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Shahrdari Noshahr have shipped 0.88 goals a game lately, while Saipa have conceded 0.63 and scored 0.75. Past meetings favor Saipa slightly — 3-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 2, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (0.81 xG vs 0.51) point toward Saipa. Saipa in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Saipa

28%

Draws

22%

Shahrdari Noshahr

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Saipa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Saipa has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Shahrdari Noshahr.
Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Saipa.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Azadegan League provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 0%

Over 4.5 Goals 0%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Saipa Clean Sheet 20%

Shahrdari Noshahr Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Saipa	Shahrdari Noshahr
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	15	4
Draws	8	13
Losses	6	12
Goals Scored	0.75	0.38
Goals Conceded	0.63	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2026 Azadegan League

Saipa vs Shahrdari Noshahr

Possession: 43% - 48% Cards: 0 - 1

1:0

Dec 13, 2025 Azadegan League

Shahrdari Noshahr vs Saipa

Possession: 52% - 55% Cards: 3 - 1

0:1

Mar 17, 2025 Azadegan League

Shahrdari Noshahr vs Saipa

Possession: 52% - 49% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Oct 29, 2024 Azadegan League

Saipa vs Shahrdari Noshahr

Possession: 49% - 40% Cards: 3 - 3

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saipa 49 / 100

Shahrdari Noshahr 23 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Saipa Shahrdari Noshahr

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAI Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saipa scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Shahrdari Noshahr let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Saipa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Shahrdari Noshahr lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Saipa VS Shahrdari Noshahr

0.75 Goals Scored 0.38

0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88

38% Over 1.5 50%

38% Over 2.5 0%

0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mazandaran	33	20	9	4	47:15	69
2	Mes Shahr Babak	33	18	11	4	39:14	65
3	Pars Janoobi Jam	33	15	12	6	42:21	57
4	Sanat Naft	33	15	12	6	35:21	57
5	Saipa	33	15	11	7	29:18	56
6	Havadar SC	33	11	17	5	32:20	50
7	Naft Bandar Abbas	33	10	17	6	26:18	47
8	Fard	33	10	15	8	24:15	45
9	Mes Kerman	33	9	15	9	20:18	42
10	Ario Eslamshahr	33	8	16	9	17:17	40
11	Besat Kermanshah	33	9	11	13	24:30	38
12	Niroye Zamini	33	8	12	13	28:29	36
13	Naft Gachsaran	33	7	14	12	25:39	35
14	Kara Gostar Shabestar	33	8	10	15	16:34	34
15	Shenavarsazi Qeshm	33	7	11	15	20:36	32
16	Shahrdari Noshahr	33	5	15	13	18:28	30
17	Navad Urmia	33	4	12	17	16:45	24
18	Damash Gilan	33	2	12	19	16:56	18