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Saitama W vs Albirex Niigata W

Japan Japan

WE League Women 2025/2026 Kumagaya Athletic Stadium, Saitama
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Yamamoto Y.
Assist: Shimoyoshi Y.
31' Event
Seno Y.
Assist: Yui T.
84' Event
Ezaki A.
Assist: Takikawa Y.

AI Match Summary

The WE League Women 2025/2026 game between Saitama W and Albirex Niigata W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Albirex Niigata W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Saitama W
33%
Draws
27%
Albirex Niigata W
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Saitama W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Albirex Niigata W come out ahead of Saitama W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Saitama W's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular WE League Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Albirex Niigata W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Saitama W Clean Sheet 68%
Albirex Niigata W Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saitama W Albirex Niigata W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 12
Draws 4 4
Losses 20 14
Goals Scored 0.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.88 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 WE League Women
Saitama W vs Albirex Niigata W
1:2
Oct 13, 2025 WE League Women
Albirex Niigata W vs Saitama W
3:0
Mar 16, 2025 WE League Women
Saitama W vs Albirex Niigata W
0:4
Oct 19, 2024 WE League Women
Albirex Niigata W vs Saitama W
2:1
Apr 18, 2024 WE League Women
Saitama W vs Albirex Niigata W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saitama W Compare

Top Goalscorer Seno Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Albirex Niigata W Compare

Top Goalscorer Yamamoto Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ezaki A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saitama W 50 / 100
Albirex Niigata W 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saitama W Albirex Niigata W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Albirex Niigata W conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Saitama W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Saitama W's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Saitama W VS Albirex Niigata W
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Saitama W

(Home)
16 May
Mynavi Sendai W
2 : 3
Saitama W
10 May
Saitama W
0 : 1
Inac Kobe Leonesa W
02 May
Nojima Stella W
1 : 2
Saitama W
26 Apr
Saitama W
1 : 2
Albirex Niigata W
05 Apr
Beleza W
0 : 1
Saitama W
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Albirex Niigata W

(Away)
16 May
Beleza W
2 : 1
Albirex Niigata W
09 May
Albirex Niigata W
0 : 2
Nojima Stella W
02 May
Albirex Niigata W
0 : 0
Omiya Ardija W
26 Apr
Saitama W
1 : 2
Albirex Niigata W
05 Apr
Albirex Niigata W
1 : 1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inac Kobe Leonesa W22172350:1353
2Urawa W22142646:1544
3Beleza W22132744:2341
4Sanfrecce Hiroshima W22108430:2038
5Mynavi Sendai W2297622:1934
6Albirex Niigata W2294923:2731
7Omiya Ardija W2269724:2827
8Nojima Stella W22831128:3427
9JEF United W22661016:3424
10C-Osaka W22561120:3421
11Saitama W22531420:3718
12AC Parceiro Nagano W22241616:5510
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