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SAK Klagenfurt vs TSV Grafenstein

Austria Austria

Karnten 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Karnten 2025/2026 game between SAK Klagenfurt and TSV Grafenstein finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TSV Grafenstein.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
SAK Klagenfurt
39%
Draws
30%
TSV Grafenstein
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SAK Klagenfurt come out ahead of TSV Grafenstein on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Karnten 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
SAK Klagenfurt Clean Sheet 13%
TSV Grafenstein Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SAK Klagenfurt TSV Grafenstein
Matches Played 36 32
Wins 16 13
Draws 11 8
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.13 2.38
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2026 Karnten
SAK Klagenfurt vs TSV Grafenstein
1:4
Sep 12, 2025 Karnten
TSV Grafenstein vs SAK Klagenfurt
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SAK Klagenfurt 31 / 100
TSV Grafenstein 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SAK Klagenfurt TSV Grafenstein

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TSV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SAK Klagenfurt found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (36 games).

Defensive concern: TSV Grafenstein conceded in 88% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

SAK Klagenfurt went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SAK Klagenfurt VS TSV Grafenstein
1.13 Goals Scored 2.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%