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Sakaryaspor vs Bursa Yildirimspor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

Turkish Cup
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Turkish Cup. This one's hard to separate. Bursa Yildirimspor have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Sakaryaspor have conceded 1.5 and scored 1.14. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.50) point toward Bursa Yildirimspor. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Sakaryaspor
20%
Draws
34%
Bursa Yildirimspor
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sakaryaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Bursa Yildirimspor have won more games recently than Sakaryaspor.
  • Win probability leans Sakaryaspor's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Bursa Yildirimspor arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Sakaryaspor Clean Sheet 16%
Bursa Yildirimspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sakaryaspor Bursa Yildirimspor
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 12
Draws 6 10
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.14 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sakaryaspor 66 / 100
Bursa Yildirimspor 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sakaryaspor Bursa Yildirimspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sakaryaspor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Sakaryaspor remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Bursa Yildirimspor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

Sakaryaspor found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

Sakaryaspor VS Bursa Yildirimspor
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sakaryaspor

(Home)
06 Oct
Sakaryaspor
2 : 0
Arit Kayadibi
03 Oct
Kirklarelispor
1 : 3
Sakaryaspor
27 Sept
Sakaryaspor
2 : 0
Kutahyaspor
20 Sept
K. Istklalspor
1 : 3
Sakaryaspor
13 Sept
Sakaryaspor
2 : 0
Adana 01
Page 1 of 6

Bursa Yildirimspor

(Away)
07 Oct
Bursa Yildirimspor
2 : 0
Amasyaspor
03 Oct
Bursa Yildirimspor
1 : 0
Bucaspor 1928
27 Sept
Gemlikspor
0 : 0
Bursa Yildirimspor
19 Sept
Bursa Yildirimspor
2 : 2
Karsiyaka
13 Sept
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu
0 : 2
Bursa Yildirimspor
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Sakaryaspor -
TBD -
SinopSpor 0
Arit Kayadibi 3
Bursa Yildirimspor -
TBD -
Amasyaspor 10
Cankirigucu 0
Elazigspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Erciyes 38 -
TBD -
Kilis Birlikgucu 0
Kahta 2
Kastamonuspor -
TBD -
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24Erzincanspor -
Tokat Bld Plevnespor 3
Kesap 0
TBD -
Etimesgut -
TBD -
TBD -
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Gaziantep -
Sariyer -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Altay 2
Soke 1970 4
TBD -
Ayvalikgucu -
Nigde -
TBD -
TBD -
Agri 1970 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Istanbulspor AS -
Bigaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Balikesirspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arnavutkoy Bl. -
Bucaspor 1928 0
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu 4
TBD -
Fethiyespor -
TBD -
TBD -
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Eyupspor -
Zonguldak Komurspor -
TBD -
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Duzcespor -
TBD -
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Isparta 32 Spor -
Eskisehirspor -
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Aksehirspor -
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Igdir FK -
Kocaelispor -
TBD -
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Mazidagi -
TBD -
Kirikkale FK 0
Kirsehir SK 3
Adana 01 -
TBD -
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Kutahyaspor -
Osmaniyespor -
TBD -
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 5
Bucak Belediyesi 1
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Musspor -
Pazarspor -
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Erbaaspor -
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Aliaga -
Alanyaspor -
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12 Bingol Spor -
Inegolspor -
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Sebat Spor Kulubu -
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu -
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Serik Spor -
Cizre Belediyesi -
Hakkari Zap -
TBD -
Adanademirspor -
Orduspor 1967 10
Torul Belediye Genclik Ve Spor 0
TBD -
Karadeniz Eregli -
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Vanspor FK -
Ankara Demirspor -
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Gemlikspor -
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Usak Belediyespor Kulubu -
Genclerbirligi -
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Hatayspor -
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Karakopru -
Karabuk Idmanyurdu -
TBD -
Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu 1
Beykoz Anadolu 3
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Iskenderunspor -
Ankaraspor -
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Kirklarelispor -
TBD -
Bayburt Spor Kulubu 3
Borcka Spor 0
Menemenspor -
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Karacabey Bld. -
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Galata Spor Kulubu 2
Yesil Yalova FK 1
Umraniyespor -
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Kucukcekmece -
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Buyukcekmece Gucu -
Sanliurfaspor -
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Golcukspor -
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Yozgat -
Inegol Kafkas -
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K. Istklalspor -
Silivrispor -
TBD -
Uzunkopruspor Kulubu 1
Bulvarspor 5
TBD -
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Beyoglu Yeni Carsi -
Kasimpasa -
TBD -
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Corluspor -
F. Karagumruk -
TBD -
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Soma Spor -
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Alanya 1221 -
Adanaspor AS -
Yeni Malatyaspor -
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Adana Adaletgucu -
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Ankaragucu -
Bitlis 1916 -
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Silifke -
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Kayserispor -
Gole Spor 0
Kars 36 Spor 5
TBD -
Fatsa Bld. -
TBD -
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Antalyaspor -
Boluspor -
TBD -
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Karsiyaka -
TBD -
Afyonkarahisaspor 2
Urgupspor Kulubu 1
52 Orduspor -
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Trabzon FK -
Guzide Gebzespor -
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Malatya -
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Dersim Spor 0
Gelecek Siirt 3
Osmaneli Belediyespor 0
Eskisehir Anadolu 1
Karaman FK 2
Kepez Bld. 3
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1/8-finals
Sakaryaspor 2
Arit Kayadibi 0
Bursa Yildirimspor 2
Amasyaspor 0
Elazigspor -
TBD -
Erciyes 38 2
Kahta 0
Kastamonuspor -
TBD -
TBD -
24Erzincanspor -
Tokat Bld Plevnespor 1
Etimesgut 5
TBD -
Gaziantep -
Sariyer -
TBD -
Soke 1970 1
Ayvalikgucu 2
Nigde 0
Agri 1970 2
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Istanbulspor AS -
Bigaspor 0
Balikesirspor 3
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Arnavutkoy Bl. -
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu 0
Fethiyespor 2
TBD -
Eyupspor -
Zonguldak Komurspor 0
Duzcespor 1
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Isparta 32 Spor -
Eskisehirspor 4
Aksehirspor 1
TBD -
Igdir FK -
Kocaelispor -
TBD -
Mazidagi 1
Kirsehir SK 0
Adana 01 -
TBD -
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Kutahyaspor -
Osmaniyespor 0
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 3
TBD -
Musspor -
Pazarspor 3
Erbaaspor 1
TBD -
Aliaga -
Alanyaspor -
TBD -
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12 Bingol Spor -
Inegolspor -
TBD -
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Sebat Spor Kulubu -
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu 0
Serik Spor 1
Hakkari Zap 6
Adanademirspor 1
Orduspor 1967 4
Karadeniz Eregli 1
TBD -
Vanspor FK -
Ankara Demirspor -
TBD -
Gemlikspor 2
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 0
Genclerbirligi -
TBD -
Hatayspor 1
Karakopru 2
Karabuk Idmanyurdu 1
Beykoz Anadolu 0
TBD -
Iskenderunspor -
Ankaraspor -
TBD -
Kirklarelispor 1
Bayburt Spor Kulubu 0
Menemenspor -
TBD -
Karacabey Bld. 3
Galata Spor Kulubu 2
Umraniyespor -
TBD -
Kucukcekmece 5
Buyukcekmece Gucu 1
Sanliurfaspor -
TBD -
Golcukspor 2
Yozgat 0
Inegol Kafkas -
TBD -
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K. Istklalspor -
Silivrispor 3
Bulvarspor 2
TBD -
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi -
Kasimpasa -
TBD -
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Corluspor -
F. Karagumruk -
TBD -
Soma Spor 4
Alanya 1221 2
Adanaspor AS 0
Adana Adaletgucu 2
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Ankaragucu -
Bitlis 1916 6
Silifke 0
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Kayserispor -
Kars 36 Spor 1
Fatsa Bld. 0
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Antalyaspor -
Boluspor -
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Karsiyaka 3
Afyonkarahisaspor 1
52 Orduspor -
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Trabzon FK -
Guzide Gebzespor -
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Malatya 3
Gelecek Siirt 1
Eskisehir Anadolu 4
Kepez Bld. 2
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Quarter-finals
Sakaryaspor -
Bursa Yildirimspor -
Elazigspor -
Erciyes 38 -
Kastamonuspor -
24Erzincanspor -
Etimesgut -
Gaziantep -
Sariyer -
Ayvalikgucu -
Agri 1970 -
Istanbulspor AS -
Balikesirspor -
Arnavutkoy Bl. -
Fethiyespor -
Eyupspor -
Duzcespor -
Isparta 32 Spor -
Eskisehirspor -
Igdir FK -
Kocaelispor -
Mazidagi -
Adana 01 -
Kutahyaspor -
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu -
Musspor -
Pazarspor -
Aliaga -
Alanyaspor -
12 Bingol Spor -
Inegolspor -
Sebat Spor Kulubu -
Serik Spor -
Hakkari Zap -
Orduspor 1967 -
Vanspor FK -
Ankara Demirspor -
Gemlikspor -
Genclerbirligi -
Karakopru -
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Iskenderunspor -
Ankaraspor -
Kirklarelispor -
Menemenspor -
Karacabey Bld. -
Umraniyespor -
Kucukcekmece -
Sanliurfaspor -
Golcukspor -
Inegol Kafkas -
K. Istklalspor -
Silivrispor -
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi -
Kasimpasa -
Corluspor -
F. Karagumruk -
Soma Spor -
Adana Adaletgucu -
Ankaragucu -
Bitlis 1916 -
Kayserispor -
Kars 36 Spor -
Antalyaspor -
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52 Orduspor -
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