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Sakaryaspor vs Iskenderunspor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig Red Group Yeni Sakarya Atatürk Stadıum, Adapazari
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sakaryaspor host Iskenderunspor in the 2. Lig Red Group. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Iskenderunspor have shipped 1.59 goals a game lately, while Sakaryaspor have conceded 1.59 and scored 1.14. Head-to-head, Sakaryaspor have won 2 to Iskenderunspor's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 5, 2015, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.94 vs 1.44, favoring Sakaryaspor. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Sakaryaspor
15%
Draws
0%
Iskenderunspor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sakaryaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Sakaryaspor haven't matched Iskenderunspor's recent run of results.
  • Sakaryaspor are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 2. Lig Red Group form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Sakaryaspor Clean Sheet 16%
Iskenderunspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sakaryaspor Iskenderunspor
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.14 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2015 3. Lig Group 3
Iskenderunspor vs Sakaryaspor
0:2
Nov 16, 2014 3. Lig Group 3
Sakaryaspor vs Iskenderunspor
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sakaryaspor 84 / 100
Iskenderunspor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sakaryaspor Iskenderunspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sakaryaspor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iskenderunspor let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Sakaryaspor went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Iskenderunspor's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Sakaryaspor VS Iskenderunspor
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sakaryaspor

(Home)
06 Oct
Sakaryaspor
2 : 0
Arit Kayadibi
03 Oct
Kirklarelispor
1 : 3
Sakaryaspor
27 Sept
Sakaryaspor
2 : 0
Kutahyaspor
20 Sept
K. Istklalspor
1 : 3
Sakaryaspor
13 Sept
Sakaryaspor
2 : 0
Adana 01
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Iskenderunspor

(Away)
04 Oct
Iskenderunspor
2 : 3
24Erzincanspor
26 Sept
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi
5 : 0
Iskenderunspor
13 Sept
Iskenderunspor
0 : 1
Kirklarelispor
06 Sept
Kutahyaspor
4 : 1
Iskenderunspor
25 Apr
Ankaragucu
4 : 1
Iskenderunspor
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sakaryaspor 5 5 0 0 13:4 15
2 Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 4 3 1 0 9:2 10
3 Adana 01 5 3 1 1 11:10 10
4 52 Orduspor 5 3 0 2 10:4 9
5 24Erzincanspor 5 2 3 0 9:7 9
6 K. Istklalspor 5 2 2 1 5:5 8
7 Ankaragucu 5 2 1 2 9:5 7
8 Trabzon FK 5 2 1 2 10:8 7
9 Ankara Demirspor 5 2 1 2 9:8 7
10 Karacabey Bld. 4 2 1 1 4:5 7
11 12 Bingol Spor 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
12 Serik Spor 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
13 Kirklarelispor 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
14 Fethiyespor 5 1 1 3 3:8 4
15 Kutahyaspor 5 1 0 4 5:10 3
16 Inegolspor 4 0 1 3 4:9 1
17 Iskenderunspor 4 0 0 4 3:13 -2
Promotion - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 2. Lig Play Offs 2026/2027 (Main)