Sport Picks

Turkey

1. Lig Yeni Sakarya Atatürk Stadıum

Pendikspor

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sakaryaspor play Pendikspor in the 1. Lig. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sakaryaspor averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. Pendikspor averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.16 conceded. In past meetings, Sakaryaspor won 2, Pendikspor won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 19, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Sakaryaspor and 1.69 for Pendikspor. This points to a Pendikspor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%

Sakaryaspor

21%

Draws

53%

Pendikspor

Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Pendikspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence

Sakaryaspor picked up more points recently compared to Pendikspor.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.69 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 42%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%

Sakaryaspor Clean Sheet 13%

Pendikspor Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 74%

Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sakaryaspor	Pendikspor
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	5	13
Draws	8	11
Losses	17	8
Goals Scored	1.03	1.47
Goals Conceded	1.9	1.16
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2026 1. Lig

Sakaryaspor vs Pendikspor

Possession: 56% - 49% Cards: 0 - 1

0:2

Sep 25, 2025 1. Lig

Pendikspor vs Sakaryaspor

Possession: 47% - 49% Cards: 0 - 0

4:1

Apr 13, 2025 1. Lig

Sakaryaspor vs Pendikspor

Possession: 52% - 42% Cards: 2 - 2

1:0

Dec 8, 2024 1. Lig

Pendikspor vs Sakaryaspor

Possession: 58% - 59% Cards: 2 - 0

3:0

May 7, 2023 1. Lig

Sakaryaspor vs Pendikspor

Possession: 43% - 46% Cards: 1 - 2

3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sakaryaspor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Pendikspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Wilks M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sakaryaspor 26 / 100

Pendikspor 51 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sakaryaspor Pendikspor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pendikspor Win (2)

Secondary Pick Pendikspor & Under 3.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +44.6%

5.56

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.8%

2.78

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sakaryaspor attacking → ← attacking Pendikspor

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sakaryaspor scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Pendikspor let in goals in 59% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Sakaryaspor went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Pendikspor lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

23 Points in last 5 50

0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Erzurumspor FK	38	23	12	3	82:27	81
2	Amedspor	38	21	11	6	81:42	74
3	Erokspor	38	21	11	6	81:35	74
4	Corum FK	38	21	8	9	63:39	71
5	Bodrumspor	38	18	10	10	71:39	64
6	Pendikspor	38	16	15	7	58:33	63
7	Keciorengucu	38	16	12	10	73:43	60
8	Bandirmaspor	38	16	12	10	47:34	60
9	Manisa FK	38	16	7	15	57:56	55
10	Sivasspor	38	14	11	13	47:43	53
11	Istanbulspor AS	38	13	13	12	57:55	52
12	Sariyer	38	15	7	16	44:44	52
13	Igdir FK	38	13	11	14	52:54	50
14	Vanspor FK	38	13	10	15	52:47	49
15	Boluspor	38	14	6	18	61:57	48
16	Umraniyespor	38	13	7	18	47:51	46
17	Serik Spor	38	11	6	21	44:75	39
18	Sakaryaspor	38	8	10	20	45:72	34
19	Hatayspor	38	2	8	28	33:102	14
20	Adanademirspor	38	1	3	34	22:169	-54