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Stadium Background

Sakhalin vs Peresvet

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Vanyushin V.
23'
Vanyushin V.
61' Event
Beskorovaynyi D.

AI Match Summary

Sakhalin in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sakhalin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Sakhalin
15%
Draws
0%
Peresvet
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sakhalin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sakhalin lately — more wins on the board than Peresvet.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Sakhalin taking it.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Sakhalin have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Sakhalin Clean Sheet 20%
Peresvet Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sakhalin Peresvet
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 5
Draws 6 3
Losses 11 22
Goals Scored 1.13 1.3
Goals Conceded 0.9 2.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2023 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Sakhalin vs Peresvet
3:2
Nov 13, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 3
Sakhalin vs Peresvet
3:0
Aug 24, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 3
Peresvet vs Sakhalin
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sakhalin Compare

Top Goalscorer Bolshunov D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Peresvet Compare

Top Goalscorer Beskorovaynyi D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sakhalin 85 / 100
Peresvet 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sakhalin Peresvet

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sakhalin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Peresvet has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.67 goals per match.

Away concern: Peresvet has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Sakhalin scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Sakhalin VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sakhalin

(Home)
03 Nov
Sakhalin
4 : 0
Arsenal Tula 2
27 Oct
Sakhalin
1 : 0
Penza
20 Oct
Sakhalin
1 : 0
Spartak Tambov
12 Oct
FK Kompozit
2 : 2
Sakhalin
06 Oct
Khimki 2
1 : 0
Sakhalin
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Peresvet

(Away)
11 Nov
Peresvet
1 : 2
Krasnoye Znamya
05 Nov
Saturn Ramenskoye
3 : 1
Peresvet
28 Oct
Peresvet
1 : 2
Kosmos
22 Oct
Kaluga
5 : 0
Peresvet
16 Oct
Peresvet
1 : 3
Khimki 2
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kaluga 17 12 3 2 50:6 39
2 Sakhalinets 17 11 3 3 38:21 36
3 Spartak Tambov 17 10 3 4 26:22 33
4 Dynamo Vladivostok 17 10 0 7 30:21 30
5 Arsenal Tula 2 17 8 6 3 24:16 30
6 FK Kompozit 17 8 5 4 28:20 29
7 Saturn Ramenskoye 17 9 2 6 30:18 29
8 SKA Khabarovsk 2 17 8 1 8 30:29 25
9 Penza 17 7 4 6 22:26 25
10 Kosmos 17 6 5 6 24:28 23
11 Sakhalin 17 7 2 8 16:19 23
12 Kvant Obninsk 17 6 5 6 19:27 23
13 Krasnoye Znamya 17 6 4 7 18:26 22
14 Khimki 2 17 6 1 10 20:28 19
15 Ryazan 17 4 3 10 24:27 15
16 Strogino Moscow 17 3 5 9 28:36 14
17 FK Kolomna 17 1 5 11 17:41 8
18 Peresvet 17 2 1 14 21:54 7
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2023/2024 (Spring Season)