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Sakhalinets vs Penza

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Evgenjev E.
13' Event
Levkin R.
29' Event
Demetradze D.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 2023 game between Sakhalinets and Penza finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sakhalinets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Sakhalinets
15%
Draws
17%
Penza
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sakhalinets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Penza haven't matched Sakhalinets's recent run of results.
  • 68% — that's where the model lands on Sakhalinets taking it.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Sakhalinets Clean Sheet 20%
Penza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sakhalinets Penza
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 7
Draws 5 2
Losses 10 21
Goals Scored 1.63 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2023 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Sakhalinets vs Penza
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sakhalinets Compare

Top Goalscorer Evgenjev E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kostyukov S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Penza Compare

Top Goalscorer Levkin R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sakhalinets 85 / 100
Penza 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sakhalinets Penza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sakhalinets Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Penza let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Sakhalinets found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Sakhalinets went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Penza
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sakhalinets

(Home)
12 Nov
Sakhalinets
2 : 1
Kvant Obninsk
05 Nov
Strogino Moscow
1 : 2
Sakhalinets
29 Oct
Sakhalinets
3 : 1
Dynamo Vladivostok
23 Oct
Ryazan
1 : 2
Sakhalinets
15 Oct
Sakhalinets
0 : 2
Krasnoye Znamya
Page 1 of 6

Penza

(Away)
15 Aug
Kursk
1 : 0
Penza
08 Aug
Penza
0 : 2
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
29 Jul
SKA Rostov-on-Don
3 : 2
Penza
25 Jul
R. Volgograd 2
0 : 1
Penza
01 Jul
Penza
1 : 2
Salyut-Belgorod
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kaluga 17 12 3 2 50:6 39
2 Sakhalinets 17 11 3 3 38:21 36
3 Spartak Tambov 17 10 3 4 26:22 33
4 Dynamo Vladivostok 17 10 0 7 30:21 30
5 Arsenal Tula 2 17 8 6 3 24:16 30
6 FK Kompozit 17 8 5 4 28:20 29
7 Saturn Ramenskoye 17 9 2 6 30:18 29
8 SKA Khabarovsk 2 17 8 1 8 30:29 25
9 Penza 17 7 4 6 22:26 25
10 Kosmos 17 6 5 6 24:28 23
11 Sakhalin 17 7 2 8 16:19 23
12 Kvant Obninsk 17 6 5 6 19:27 23
13 Krasnoye Znamya 17 6 4 7 18:26 22
14 Khimki 2 17 6 1 10 20:28 19
15 Ryazan 17 4 3 10 24:27 15
16 Strogino Moscow 17 3 5 9 28:36 14
17 FK Kolomna 17 1 5 11 17:41 8
18 Peresvet 17 2 1 14 21:54 7
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2023/2024 (Spring Season)