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Saksan vs Falesti

Moldova Moldova

Super Liga 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Lipcan N.
36' Event
Musteata B.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Saksan advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Saksan
15%
Draws
21%
Falesti
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saksan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Saksan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Saksan taking it.
  • Saksan have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Saksan, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Saksan have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Saksan Clean Sheet 19%
Falesti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saksan Falesti
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 20 8
Draws 5 3
Losses 5 23
Goals Scored 2.87 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.83 2.35
Expected Goals (xG) 2.23 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2025 Super Liga
Saksan vs Falesti
2:0
May 10, 2025 Super Liga
Saksan vs Falesti
2:0
Apr 11, 2025 Super Liga
Falesti vs Saksan
0:3
Nov 2, 2024 Liga 1
Saksan vs Falesti
4:0
Sep 21, 2024 Liga 1
Saksan vs Falesti
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saksan Compare

Top Goalscorer Lipcan N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Musteata B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.72
Avg xA / game 1.11

Falesti Compare

Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saksan 85 / 100
Falesti 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saksan Falesti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saksan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saksan scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Falesti let in goals in 79% of their last 34 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Saksan remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Falesti
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 3.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Saksan

(Home)
28 May
Saksan
4 : 0
Speranis
21 May
Saksan
2 : 0
Falesti
16 May
Saksan
4 : 0
Iskra Ribnita
10 May
Saksan
2 : 0
Falesti
06 May
Dacia Buiucani
3 : 0
Saksan
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Falesti

(Away)
12 Sept
Victoria
2 : 1
Falesti
01 Sept
Victoria
5 : 3
Falesti
29 Aug
Falesti
1 : 2
Stauceni
22 Aug
National Ialoveni
0 : 1
Falesti
14 Aug
Oguzsport
0 : 0
Falesti
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Victoria -
TBD -
TBD -
FCM Ungheni -
Stauceni -
TBD -
Speranis 3
Olimp Comrat 1
Saksan -
TBD -
Univer Comrat 2
Iskra Ribnita 3
Falesti -
TBD -
TBD -
Floresti -
Quarter-finals
Victoria 3
FCM Ungheni 1
Stauceni 0
Speranis 1
Saksan 4
Iskra Ribnita 0
Falesti 2
Floresti 0
Semi-finals
Victoria 0
Speranis 2
Saksan 2
Falesti 0
Final
Speranis 0
Saksan 4