Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Liga 1 2023/2024 game between Saksan and Speranis finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saksan.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saksan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Speranis haven't matched Saksan's recent run of results.
- 43% — that's where the model lands on Saksan taking it.
- Regular Liga 1 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Saksan have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Saksan Clean Sheet 13%
Speranis Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Saksan | Speranis |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 34 |
| Wins | 23 | 16 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 5 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 3.06 | 1.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.82 | 1.26 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 28, 2025 Super Liga
Saksan vs Speranis
4:0
Dec 7, 2024 Liga 1
Speranis vs Saksan
1:2
Oct 25, 2024 Liga 1
Speranis vs Saksan
1:1
Sep 13, 2024 Liga 1
Saksan vs Speranis
2:1
Dec 1, 2023 Liga 1
Saksan vs Speranis
5:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Saksan 84 / 100
Speranis 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Saksan Speranis
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Saksan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Saksan scored in 91% of their last 33 games.
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Defensive concern: Speranis conceded in 70% of 33 recent games.
Recent resilience: Saksan stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Saksan VS Speranis
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Saksan
(Home) 28 May
Saksan
4 : 0 Speranis
21 May
Saksan
2 : 0 Falesti
16 May
Saksan
4 : 0 Iskra Ribnita
10 May
Saksan
2 : 0 Falesti
06 May
Dacia Buiucani
3 : 0 Saksan
Page 1 of 7
28 May
Saksan
4 : 0 Speranis
21 May
Saksan
2 : 0 Falesti
16 May
Saksan
4 : 0 Iskra Ribnita
10 May
Saksan
2 : 0 Falesti
15 Apr
Saksan
1 : 2 Zimbru Chisinau
Page 1 of 4
Speranis
(Away) 28 May
Saksan
4 : 0 Speranis
21 May
Victoria
0 : 2 Speranis
17 May
Stauceni
0 : 1 Speranis
07 May
Speranis
3 : 1 Olimp Comrat
26 Apr
Vulturii Cutezatori
0 : 2 Speranis
Page 1 of 7
28 May
Saksan
4 : 0 Speranis
21 May
Victoria
0 : 2 Speranis
17 May
Stauceni
0 : 1 Speranis
26 Apr
Vulturii Cutezatori
0 : 2 Speranis
11 Apr
FCM Ungheni
1 : 1 Speranis
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Victoria | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 46:17 | 34 |
| 2 | Sheriff Tiraspol 2 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 38:10 | 32 |
| 3 | Speranta Drochia | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 14:15 | 21 |
| 4 | Iskra Ribnita | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 24:32 | 21 |
| 5 | FCM Ungheni | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 38:30 | 20 |
| 6 | Dinamo-Auto Tiraspol | 15 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6:62 | 1 |
Promotion - Super Liga 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)
Promotion - Super Liga 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saksan | 15 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 44:14 | 35 |
| 2 | Univer Comrat | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 33:18 | 33 |
| 3 | Speranis | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 26:28 | 19 |
| 4 | Falesti | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 24:32 | 17 |
| 5 | Olimp Comrat | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 19:24 | 17 |
| 6 | Real Succes | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 14:44 | 4 |
Promotion - Super Liga 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)
Promotion - Super Liga 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)
