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Saku Sporting vs Rakvere Prediction & H2H Stats

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Makarov A.
Own Goal
36'
Krik H.
43' Event
Koppel K.

AI Match Summary

Saku Sporting in this Estonian Cup 2020/2021 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Saku Sporting
15%
Draws
42%
Rakvere
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saku Sporting

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Rakvere haven't matched Saku Sporting's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Saku Sporting a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Saku Sporting have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Rakvere, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 66%
Over 4.5 Goals 30%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Saku Sporting Clean Sheet 10%
Rakvere Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saku Sporting Rakvere
Matches Played 21 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 1 2
Losses 12 21
Goals Scored 2.1 1.1
Goals Conceded 3.43 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.52 2.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2022 Estonian Cup
Saku Sporting vs Rakvere
0:2
Aug 26, 2020 Estonian Cup
Saku Sporting vs Rakvere
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saku Sporting Compare

Top Goalscorer Koppel K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.76

Rakvere Compare

Top Goalscorer Rannamae S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.55
Avg xA / game 1.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saku Sporting 65 / 100
Rakvere 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saku Sporting Rakvere

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saku Sporting Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rakvere let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Saku Sporting scored in 70% of their last 20 outings.

Solid form: Saku Sporting remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Saku Sporting VS Rakvere
1.75 Goals Scored 1.86
3.75 Goals Conceded 1.29
88% Over 1.5 71%
75% Over 2.5 57%
75% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Saku Sporting

(Home)
03 Oct
Kuressaare
4 : 2
Saku Sporting
19 Aug
Olympic Tallinn
0 : 7
Saku Sporting
26 Jul
Saku Sporting
2 : 1
Legion
03 Sept
Tallinna FC Zapoos
3 : 0
Saku Sporting
31 Jul
Saku Sporting
3 : 2
Marjamaa Kompanii
Page 1 of 5

Rakvere

(Away)
19 Oct
Johvi Phoenix
1 : 0
Rakvere
25 Aug
Helm
1 : 4
Rakvere
27 Jul
Saku Sporting
0 : 2
Rakvere
23 Jul
Helios
3 : 1
Rakvere
10 Jul
Rakvere
3 : 1
Puhkus Mehhikos
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Tartu JK Welco -
TBD -
TBD -
Flora U19 -
FCI Tallinn 5
Helios 1
Kuressaare 18
Anija 0
Pohja-Sakala 5
Aksi Wolves 1
TBD -
Lelle -
Parnu -
TBD -
TBD -
Flora -
Marjamaa Kompanii 4
Teleios 1
TBD -
Soccernet -
Rumori Calcio II -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Lootos Polva -
Viimsi Lovid -
TBD -
TBD -
Parnu JK Vaprus -
Zenit Tallinn -
TBD -
TBD -
Tammeka Tartu -
Helm -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev U21 -
Vastseliina Tannem -
TBD -
Narva 4
Paide Linnameeskond III 0
Rumori Calcio -
TBD -
Parnu Sadam 8
Puhkus Mehhikos 1
Tallinna Wolves -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond IV 1
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 2
Raplamaa 3
Eston Villa II 0
TBD -
JK Jalgpallihaigla -
Jogeva -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Hell Hunt -
Imavere Forss -
TBD -
TBD -
Valga Warrior -
TransferWise -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev 6
Nomme Utd 3
Kalju -
TBD -
TBD -
Rummu Dunamo -
Kohvile 9
JK 32. keskkool 0
TBD -
Tallinn Piraaja -
Maksatransport -
TBD -
Legion 9
HF Beer 0
Saku Sporting 6
Kadakas 0
TBD -
Rakvere -
Paide Linnameeskond 24
Eyjafjallajokull 0
TBD -
Tulevik U21 -
Tallinna Pocarr 3
Igiliikur 0
TBD -
ReUnited -
Olympic Tallinn 1
JK Poseidon 2
TBD -
Kose -
Tulevik -
TBD -
TBD -
Maardu Aliens -
Legion II -
TBD -
FC Tallinn 2
Elva 1
Vandra Vaprus -
TBD -
Flora Tallinn U21 10
Tallinna FC Zapoos 1
Laanemaa Haapsalu -
TBD -
Levadia 6
Kohtla-Nomme 0
JK Retro -
TBD -
Loo JK 9
Metsis 1
Eston Villa 2
Rasmus Varki Jalgpallikool 0
TBD -
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve U21 -
Pohja-Tallinna 4
Jogeva Wolves 2
TBD -
Jarva-Jaani -
Viimsi JK 4
Kristiine 2
Maardu Linnameeskond 9
FC Sssolutions 0
Hiiumaa -
TBD -
TBD -
Keila JK -
1/32-finals
Tartu JK Welco 2
Flora U19 1
FCI Tallinn 2
Kuressaare 3
Pohja-Sakala 6
Lelle 1
Parnu 1
Flora 4
Marjamaa Kompanii 4
Soccernet 1
Rumori Calcio II 3
FC Lootos Polva 0
Viimsi Lovid 0
Parnu JK Vaprus 4
Zenit Tallinn 0
Tammeka Tartu 13
Helm 2
Tallinna Kalev U21 1
Vastseliina Tannem 0
Narva 5
Rumori Calcio 2
Parnu Sadam 3
Tallinna Wolves 0
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 3
Raplamaa 13
JK Jalgpallihaigla 0
Jogeva 1
FC Hell Hunt 2
Imavere Forss 5
Valga Warrior 1
TransferWise 0
Tallinna Kalev 11
Kalju 8
Rummu Dunamo 0
Kohvile 1
Tallinn Piraaja 3
Maksatransport 0
Legion 6
Saku Sporting 3
Rakvere 2
Paide Linnameeskond 9
Tulevik U21 0
Tallinna Pocarr 1
ReUnited 0
JK Poseidon 0
Kose 2
Tulevik -
Maardu Aliens -
Legion II 0
FC Tallinn 4
Vandra Vaprus 5
Flora Tallinn U21 4
Laanemaa Haapsalu 0
Levadia 2
JK Retro 5
Loo JK 0
Eston Villa 6
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve U21 0
Pohja-Tallinna 4
Jarva-Jaani 0
Viimsi JK 1
Maardu Linnameeskond 2
Hiiumaa 3
Keila JK 4
1/16-finals
Tartu JK Welco 1
Kuressaare 6
Pohja-Sakala 0
Flora 3
Marjamaa Kompanii 2
Rumori Calcio II 1
Parnu JK Vaprus 0
Tammeka Tartu 1
Helm 1
Narva 2
Parnu Sadam -
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve -
Raplamaa 1
FC Hell Hunt 2
Imavere Forss 0
Tallinna Kalev 3
Kalju 4
Tallinn Piraaja 0
Legion 11
Saku Sporting 0
Paide Linnameeskond 13
Tallinna Pocarr 0
Kose 0
Tulevik 8
FC Tallinn 2
Vandra Vaprus 0
Levadia 5
JK Retro 0
Eston Villa 2
Pohja-Tallinna 1
Maardu Linnameeskond 5
Keila JK 3
1/8-finals
Kuressaare 0
Flora 4
Marjamaa Kompanii 0
Tammeka Tartu 15
Narva 3
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 0
FC Hell Hunt 0
Tallinna Kalev 4
Kalju 3
Legion 0
Paide Linnameeskond 2
Tulevik 3
FC Tallinn 0
Levadia 3
Eston Villa 0
Maardu Linnameeskond 2
Quarter-finals
Flora 2
Tammeka Tartu 1
Narva 2
Tallinna Kalev 1
Kalju 1
Tulevik 2
Levadia 2
Maardu Linnameeskond 0
Semi-finals
Flora 2
Narva 1
Tulevik 0
Levadia 2
Final
Flora 0
Levadia 1