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Saku Sporting W vs Elva W

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Women 2025 Saku Kunstmuruvaljak, Saku
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Saulus K.
29' Event
Rannasto L.
46'
Sub
Lindeberg S. In: Polluvee E.
Out: Lindeberg S.

AI Match Summary

The Meistriliiga Women 2025 game between Saku Sporting W and Elva W finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saku Sporting W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Saku Sporting W
15%
Draws
26%
Elva W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saku Sporting W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Saku Sporting W come out ahead of Elva W on wins alone.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Saku Sporting W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).
  • History favors Saku Sporting W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Saku Sporting W Clean Sheet 16%
Elva W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saku Sporting W Elva W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 5
Draws 2 2
Losses 10 22
Goals Scored 2.69 1.34
Goals Conceded 2.17 4.17
Expected Goals (xG) 3.81 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Meistriliiga Women
Saku Sporting W vs Elva W
5:1
Aug 23, 2026 Meistriliiga Women
Elva W vs Saku Sporting W
1:4
Aug 1, 2026 Meistriliiga Women
Elva W vs Saku Sporting W
2:8
Mar 21, 2026 Meistriliiga Women
Saku Sporting W vs Elva W
2:2
Oct 10, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Saku Sporting W vs Elva W
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saku Sporting W Compare

Top Goalscorer Daut G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Saulus K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.93
Avg xA / game 1.91

Elva W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saku Sporting W 84 / 100
Elva W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saku Sporting W Elva W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saku Sporting W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Saku Sporting W scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Elva W conceded in 100% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Saku Sporting W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Saku Sporting W VS Elva W
3.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 4.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Saku Sporting W

(Home)
26 Sept
Saku Sporting W
1 : 5
Flora W
19 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond W
4 : 2
Saku Sporting W
12 Sept
Viimsi JK W
0 : 4
Saku Sporting W
05 Sept
Saku Sporting W
5 : 1
Elva W
29 Aug
Harju JK Laagri W
1 : 1
Saku Sporting W
Page 1 of 6

Elva W

(Away)
26 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond W
9 : 1
Elva W
19 Sept
Viimsi JK W
9 : 1
Elva W
12 Sept
Elva W
0 : 6
Harju JK Laagri W
05 Sept
Saku Sporting W
5 : 1
Elva W
29 Aug
Elva W
3 : 2
Flora W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flora W 27 25 1 1 126:11 76
2 Saku Sporting W 27 18 2 7 84:47 56
3 Viimsi JK W 27 15 5 7 60:32 50
4 Tabasalu W 27 14 2 11 51:55 44
5 Tallinna Kalev W 27 9 3 15 58:77 30
6 Tammeka Tartu W 27 4 5 18 32:95 17
7 Elva W 27 4 2 21 28:96 14
8 FC Ararat W 21 5 2 14 22:48 17
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)