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Saku Sporting W vs Elva W Prediction & H2H Stats

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Meistriliiga Women
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Daut G.
(Penalty)
44' Event
Rank R.
48' Event
Hudsi K.

AI Match Summary

The Meistriliiga Women game between Saku Sporting W and Elva W finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saku Sporting W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Saku Sporting W
15%
Draws
26%
Elva W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saku Sporting W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Elva W haven't matched Saku Sporting W's recent run of results.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Saku Sporting W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Saku Sporting W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Saku Sporting W Clean Sheet 16%
Elva W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saku Sporting W Elva W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 5
Draws 2 2
Losses 10 22
Goals Scored 2.69 1.34
Goals Conceded 2.17 4.17
Expected Goals (xG) 3.81 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Meistriliiga Women
Saku Sporting W vs Elva W
5:1
Aug 23, 2026 Meistriliiga Women
Elva W vs Saku Sporting W
1:4
Aug 1, 2026 Meistriliiga Women
Elva W vs Saku Sporting W
2:8
Mar 21, 2026 Meistriliiga Women
Saku Sporting W vs Elva W
2:2
Oct 10, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Saku Sporting W vs Elva W
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saku Sporting W Compare

Top Goalscorer Polluvee E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rank R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.93
Avg xA / game 1.91

Elva W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hudsi K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saku Sporting W 84 / 100
Elva W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saku Sporting W Elva W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saku Sporting W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saku Sporting W found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

Elva W has conceded goals in 100% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Saku Sporting W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Saku Sporting W VS Elva W
3.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 4.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Saku Sporting W

(Home)
26 Sept
Saku Sporting W
1 : 5
Flora W
19 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond W
4 : 2
Saku Sporting W
12 Sept
Viimsi JK W
0 : 4
Saku Sporting W
05 Sept
Saku Sporting W
5 : 1
Elva W
29 Aug
Harju JK Laagri W
1 : 1
Saku Sporting W
Page 1 of 6

Elva W

(Away)
26 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond W
9 : 1
Elva W
19 Sept
Viimsi JK W
9 : 1
Elva W
12 Sept
Elva W
0 : 6
Harju JK Laagri W
05 Sept
Saku Sporting W
5 : 1
Elva W
29 Aug
Elva W
3 : 2
Flora W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flora W 20 13 3 4 60:24 42
2 Paide Linnameeskond W 20 14 0 6 63:31 42
3 Viimsi JK W 20 10 3 7 44:32 33
4 Saku Sporting W 20 10 2 8 52:47 32
5 Harju JK Laagri W 20 4 3 13 31:55 15
6 Elva W 20 3 1 16 26:87 10
Relegation - Meistriliiga Women (Relegation)