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Salam Zgharta vs Al Ahed

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Haidar M.
(Penalty)
69' Event
Nasser M.
75' Event
Adra A.

AI Match Summary

Al Ahed in this Premier League 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Ahed.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Salam Zgharta
39%
Draws
31%
Al Ahed
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Ahed lately — more wins on the board than Salam Zgharta.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Al Ahed here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Salam Zgharta Clean Sheet 19%
Al Ahed Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Salam Zgharta Al Ahed
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 17
Draws 6 3
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 0 1.5
Goals Conceded 0 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2022 Premier League
Salam Zgharta vs Al Ahed
1:2
Dec 18, 2020 Premier League
Al Ahed vs Salam Zgharta
3:0
Dec 11, 2019 Premier League
Salam Zgharta vs Al Ahed
0:0
Mar 3, 2019 Premier League
Salam Zgharta vs Al Ahed
0:1
Nov 25, 2018 Premier League
Al Ahed vs Salam Zgharta
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Salam Zgharta Compare

Top Goalscorer Adra A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Al Ahed Compare

Top Goalscorer Nasser M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Salam Zgharta 31 / 100
Al Ahed 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Salam Zgharta Al Ahed

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ahed's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Salam Zgharta has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Salam Zgharta's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Al Ahed
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Ansar1183028:727
2Al Sahel1174017:525
3Al Ahed1173120:824
4Nejmeh SC1172218:723
5Bourj1172217:1123
6Al Ghazieh1133512:1612
7Safa112458:1510
8Tadamon1124511:1510
9Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley1121810:257
10Salam Zgharta111467:157
11Al Hikma112189:157
12Tripoli SC110564:225