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Salam Zgharta vs Al Ansar

Lebanon Lebanon

Lebanese Cup 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Salam Zgharta play Al Ansar in the Lebanese Cup 2021/2022. Al Ansar are favorites here. Recently, Salam Zgharta averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. Al Ansar averaged 2.48 goals scored and 0.66 conceded. In past meetings, Salam Zgharta won 0, Al Ansar won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 11, 2022 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.85 for Salam Zgharta and 1.55 for Al Ansar. This points to a Al Ansar double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Salam Zgharta
16%
Draws
69%
Al Ansar
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Al Ansar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Salam Zgharta picked up more points recently compared to Al Ansar.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.85 vs 1.55 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Salam Zgharta Clean Sheet 15%
Al Ansar Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Salam Zgharta Al Ansar
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 22
Draws 6 2
Losses 20 5
Goals Scored 0.6 2.48
Goals Conceded 1.97 0.66

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2022 Premier League
Salam Zgharta vs Al Ansar
0:3
Dec 22, 2021 Lebanese Cup
Salam Zgharta vs Al Ansar
0:6
Dec 8, 2020 Premier League
Al Ansar vs Salam Zgharta
6:0
Nov 25, 2019 Premier League
Al Ansar vs Salam Zgharta
0:0
Feb 15, 2019 Premier League
Al Ansar vs Salam Zgharta
4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Salam Zgharta 17 / 100
Al Ansar 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Salam Zgharta Al Ansar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ansar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Al Ansar & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Salam Zgharta attacking → ← attacking Al Ansar

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Salam Zgharta scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Al Ansar let in goals in 41% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Salam Zgharta went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Al Ansar lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

18 Points in last 5 68
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50