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Salam Zgharta vs Nejmeh SC

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Salam Zgharta play Nejmeh SC in the Premier League 2022/2023. Nejmeh SC are favorites here. Recently, Salam Zgharta averaged 0.59 goals scored and 1.88 conceded. Nejmeh SC averaged 2.15 goals scored and 0.67 conceded. In past meetings, Salam Zgharta won 1, Nejmeh SC won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 9, 2022 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.85 for Salam Zgharta and 1.49 for Nejmeh SC. This points to a Nejmeh SC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Salam Zgharta
17%
Draws
66%
Nejmeh SC
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Nejmeh SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Salam Zgharta picked up more points recently compared to Nejmeh SC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.85 vs 1.49 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Salam Zgharta Clean Sheet 16%
Nejmeh SC Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Salam Zgharta Nejmeh SC
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 5 24
Draws 6 5
Losses 21 4
Goals Scored 0.59 2.15
Goals Conceded 1.88 0.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2022 Premier League
Salam Zgharta vs Nejmeh SC
1:2
Oct 11, 2020 Premier League
Salam Zgharta vs Nejmeh SC
0:4
Oct 27, 2019 Premier League
Salam Zgharta vs Nejmeh SC
0:0
Feb 20, 2019 Premier League
Salam Zgharta vs Nejmeh SC
1:0
Oct 21, 2018 Premier League
Nejmeh SC vs Salam Zgharta
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Salam Zgharta Compare

Top Goalscorer Usule M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Nejmeh SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Bader K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Baleke J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Salam Zgharta 19 / 100
Nejmeh SC 63 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Salam Zgharta Nejmeh SC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nejmeh SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Nejmeh SC & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +88.9%
11.11
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Salam Zgharta attacking → ← attacking Nejmeh SC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Salam Zgharta scored in 47% of their last 32 games.

Nejmeh SC let in goals in 52% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Salam Zgharta went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Nejmeh SC lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 77
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al Ansar1183028:727
2Al Sahel1174017:525
3Al Ahed1173120:824
4Nejmeh SC1172218:723
5Bourj1172217:1123
6Al Ghazieh1133512:1612
7Safa112458:1510
8Tadamon1124511:1510
9Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley1121810:257
10Salam Zgharta111467:157
11Al Hikma112189:157
12Tripoli SC110564:225