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Salam Zgharta vs Tadamon

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Salam Zgharta play Tadamon in the Premier League 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Salam Zgharta averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. Tadamon averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1.74 conceded. In past meetings, Salam Zgharta won 0, Tadamon won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 11, 2023 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Salam Zgharta and 0.86 for Tadamon. This points to a Tadamon double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Salam Zgharta
22%
Draws
50%
Tadamon
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Tadamon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Salam Zgharta picked up more points recently compared to Tadamon.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 0.86 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Salam Zgharta Clean Sheet 25%
Tadamon Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Salam Zgharta Tadamon
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 4 7
Draws 6 9
Losses 20 18
Goals Scored 0.6 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.74

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2023 Premier League
Tadamon vs Salam Zgharta
1:0
Jan 27, 2023 Premier League
Salam Zgharta vs Tadamon
0:2
Dec 11, 2022 Premier League
Tadamon vs Salam Zgharta
1:1
Mar 30, 2021 Premier League
Salam Zgharta vs Tadamon
1:2
Nov 8, 2020 Premier League
Salam Zgharta vs Tadamon
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Salam Zgharta Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Tadamon Compare

Top Goalscorer Milhem A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Salam Zgharta 30 / 100
Tadamon 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Salam Zgharta Tadamon

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Tadamon or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +40%
5.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Salam Zgharta attacking → ← attacking Tadamon

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Salam Zgharta scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Tadamon let in goals in 71% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Salam Zgharta went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Tadamon lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

18 Points in last 5 30
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88