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Salem City vs Tobacco Road

USA USA

USL League Two
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tobacco Road in this USL League Two matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tobacco Road.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Salem City
22%
Draws
18%
Tobacco Road
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Salem City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Salem City have won more games recently than Tobacco Road.
  • Salem City are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular USL League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83%
Salem City Clean Sheet 10%
Tobacco Road Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Salem City Tobacco Road
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 17 6
Draws 5 8
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.38 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2026 USL League Two
Salem City vs Tobacco Road
1:3
May 26, 2026 USL League Two
Tobacco Road vs Salem City
1:3
Jul 8, 2025 USL League Two
Tobacco Road vs Salem City
1:3
May 28, 2025 USL League Two
Salem City vs Tobacco Road
3:3
Jun 29, 2024 USL League Two
Tobacco Road vs Salem City
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Salem City 56 / 100
Tobacco Road 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Salem City Tobacco Road

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Salem City found the back of the net in 91% of recent matches (32 games).

Tobacco Road's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Difficult form: Tobacco Road registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Salem City VS Tobacco Road
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%