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Stadium Background

Salernitana vs Altamura

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Arechi, Salerno
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Grande M.
19'
Curcio A.
22'
Sub
Golemic V. In: Longobardi G.
Out: Golemic V.

AI Match Summary

Salernitana in this Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Salernitana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Salernitana
30%
Draws
28%
Altamura
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Salernitana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Salernitana lately — more wins on the board than Altamura.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Salernitana taking it.
  • Regular Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Salernitana Clean Sheet 68%
Altamura Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Salernitana Altamura
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.38 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Salernitana vs Altamura
2:1
Nov 16, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Altamura vs Salernitana
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Salernitana Compare

Top Goalscorer Anastasio A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Altamura Compare

Top Goalscorer Grande M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Salernitana 95 / 100
Altamura 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Salernitana Altamura

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Salernitana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Salernitana went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Salernitana scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Altamura has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Salernitana VS Altamura
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Salernitana

(Home)
19 Sept
Salernitana
1 : 0
Giugliano
15 Sept
Barletta
1 : 1
Salernitana
11 Sept
Salernitana
4 : 2
Potenza
06 Sept
Salernitana
1 : 1
Cavese
29 Aug
Foggia
1 : 1
Salernitana
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Altamura

(Away)
19 Sept
Altamura
2 : 1
Picerno
15 Sept
Casertana
1 : 0
Altamura
11 Sept
Altamura
0 : 3
Bari
06 Sept
Altamura
0 : 2
A.C. Savoia
02 Sept
Altamura
3 : 2
Sambenedettese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benevento 38 25 7 6 74:28 82
2 Catania 38 19 13 6 54:25 70
3 Salernitana 38 20 9 9 50:42 69
4 Cosenza 38 19 10 9 58:40 67
5 Casertana 38 19 9 10 55:44 66
6 Crotone 38 18 7 13 59:40 61
7 Monopoli 38 15 11 12 39:41 56
8 Casarano 38 16 8 14 56:57 56
9 Audace Cerignola 38 14 12 12 50:54 54
10 Potenza 38 12 13 13 54:56 49
11 Atalanta U23 38 11 12 15 53:50 45
12 Altamura 38 11 12 15 32:49 45
13 Latina 38 10 12 16 35:44 42
14 Cavese 38 9 15 14 36:42 42
15 Picerno 38 9 13 16 43:55 40
16 Sorrento 38 9 12 17 39:55 39
17 Giugliano 38 9 10 19 35:52 37
18 Foggia 38 6 9 23 28:60 27
19 Siracusa 38 9 10 19 48:57 26
20 Trapani 38 13 10 15 47:54 24
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)