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Salernitana vs Latina

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Arechi, Salerno
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Cabianca E.
21'
Capomaggio G.
25'
Sub
Ferraris A. In: Quirini E.
Out: Ferraris A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 game between Salernitana and Latina finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Salernitana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Salernitana
35%
Draws
28%
Latina
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Salernitana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Latina haven't matched Salernitana's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Salernitana Clean Sheet 68%
Latina Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Salernitana Latina
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 8 8
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Salernitana vs Latina
2:1
Nov 2, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Latina vs Salernitana
0:0
Apr 17, 2017 Serie B
Salernitana vs Latina
2:1
Nov 19, 2016 Serie B
Latina vs Salernitana
1:1
Apr 9, 2016 Serie B
Salernitana vs Latina
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Salernitana Compare

Top Goalscorer Cabianca E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lescano F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Latina Compare

Top Goalscorer Sylla Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Salernitana 41 / 100
Latina 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Salernitana Latina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Salernitana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Salernitana has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Salernitana found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Latina conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Salernitana VS Latina
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Salernitana

(Home)
19 Sept
Salernitana
1 : 0
Giugliano
15 Sept
Barletta
1 : 1
Salernitana
11 Sept
Salernitana
4 : 2
Potenza
06 Sept
Salernitana
1 : 1
Cavese
29 Aug
Foggia
1 : 1
Salernitana
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Latina

(Away)
20 Sept
Reggiana
1 : 0
Latina
16 Sept
Latina
1 : 1
Guidonia 1937
12 Sept
Gubbio
3 : 1
Latina
09 Sept
Grosseto
1 : 4
Latina
05 Sept
Latina
2 : 0
Forli FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benevento 38 25 7 6 74:28 82
2 Catania 38 19 13 6 54:25 70
3 Salernitana 38 20 9 9 50:42 69
4 Cosenza 38 19 10 9 58:40 67
5 Casertana 38 19 9 10 55:44 66
6 Crotone 38 18 7 13 59:40 61
7 Monopoli 38 15 11 12 39:41 56
8 Casarano 38 16 8 14 56:57 56
9 Audace Cerignola 38 14 12 12 50:54 54
10 Potenza 38 12 13 13 54:56 49
11 Atalanta U23 38 11 12 15 53:50 45
12 Altamura 38 11 12 15 32:49 45
13 Latina 38 10 12 16 35:44 42
14 Cavese 38 9 15 14 36:42 42
15 Picerno 38 9 13 16 43:55 40
16 Sorrento 38 9 12 17 39:55 39
17 Giugliano 38 9 10 19 35:52 37
18 Foggia 38 6 9 23 28:60 27
19 Siracusa 38 9 10 19 48:57 26
20 Trapani 38 13 10 15 47:54 24
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)