Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Salernitana vs Monopoli

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Arechi, Salerno
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Greco J.
45'
Ronco D.
54' Event
Scipioni E.

AI Match Summary

Monopoli in this Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Monopoli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Salernitana
30%
Draws
23%
Monopoli
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Salernitana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Very High Confidence
  • Salernitana have won more games recently than Monopoli.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Salernitana taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Salernitana Clean Sheet 68%
Monopoli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Salernitana Monopoli
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 9
Draws 7 8
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.88 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Salernitana vs Monopoli
0:1
Oct 12, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Monopoli vs Salernitana
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Salernitana Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Monopoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Scipioni E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Salernitana 68 / 100
Monopoli 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Salernitana Monopoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Salernitana scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Monopoli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Salernitana went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Monopoli's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Salernitana VS Monopoli
1.88 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Salernitana

(Home)
27 May
Union Brescia
2 : 0
Salernitana
24 May
Salernitana
1 : 1
Union Brescia
20 May
Ravenna
0 : 2
Salernitana
17 May
Salernitana
2 : 0
Ravenna
13 May
Salernitana
1 : 1
Casertana
Page 1 of 6

Monopoli

(Away)
03 Aug
Monopoli
0 : 1
Vibonese
03 May
Monopoli
0 : 2
Casarano
26 Apr
Potenza
2 : 2
Monopoli
19 Apr
Monopoli
1 : 0
Foggia
12 Apr
Atalanta U23
2 : 0
Monopoli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benevento 38 25 7 6 74:28 82
2 Catania 38 19 13 6 54:25 70
3 Salernitana 38 20 9 9 50:42 69
4 Cosenza 38 19 10 9 58:40 67
5 Casertana 38 19 9 10 55:44 66
6 Crotone 38 18 7 13 59:40 61
7 Monopoli 38 15 11 12 39:41 56
8 Casarano 38 16 8 14 56:57 56
9 Audace Cerignola 38 14 12 12 50:54 54
10 Potenza 38 12 13 13 54:56 49
11 Atalanta U23 38 11 12 15 53:50 45
12 Altamura 38 11 12 15 32:49 45
13 Latina 38 10 12 16 35:44 42
14 Cavese 38 9 15 14 36:42 42
15 Picerno 38 9 13 16 43:55 40
16 Sorrento 38 9 12 17 39:55 39
17 Giugliano 38 9 10 19 35:52 37
18 Foggia 38 6 9 23 28:60 27
19 Siracusa 38 9 10 19 48:57 26
20 Trapani 38 13 10 15 47:54 24
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)