Sport Picks
Match Events
6'
6'
Celiento D.
Assist: Achik I.
9'
9'
La Gumina A.
13'
13'
De Marco A.
AI Match Summary
Salernitana in this Serie C - Group C matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Salernitana.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Potenza
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
31%
/ Low Confidence
- Salernitana haven't matched Potenza's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Salernitana Clean Sheet 68%
Potenza Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Salernitana | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.6 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 11, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Salernitana vs Potenza
4:2
Mar 28, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Potenza vs Salernitana
5:2
Nov 23, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Salernitana vs Potenza
1:1
Apr 20, 2008 Lega Pro C1/B
Potenza vs Salernitana
0:1
Nov 25, 2007 Lega Pro C1/B
Salernitana vs Potenza
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Salernitana Compare
Top Goalscorer La Gumina A.
3 Goals Assists Leader Celiento D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Potenza Compare
Top Goalscorer De Marco A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Selleri G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Salernitana 41 / 100
Potenza 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Salernitana Potenza
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Salernitana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Salernitana's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Potenza let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.
Recent resilience: Salernitana stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Salernitana VS Potenza
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Salernitana
(Home) 26 Sept
Crotone
2 : 1 Salernitana
19 Sept
Salernitana
1 : 0 Giugliano
15 Sept
Barletta
1 : 1 Salernitana
11 Sept
Salernitana
4 : 2 Potenza
06 Sept
Salernitana
1 : 1 Cavese
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Salernitana
1 : 0 Giugliano
11 Sept
Salernitana
4 : 2 Potenza
06 Sept
Salernitana
1 : 1 Cavese
24 Aug
Salernitana
1 : 2 Sorrento
15 Aug
Salernitana
1 : 2 Scafatese
Page 1 of 4
Potenza
(Away) 20 Sept
Potenza
4 : 2 Cavese
15 Sept
Bari
0 : 0 Potenza
11 Sept
Salernitana
4 : 2 Potenza
05 Sept
Potenza
1 : 0 Monopoli
01 Sept
Potenza
2 : 1 Monopoli
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Bari
0 : 0 Potenza
11 Sept
Salernitana
4 : 2 Potenza
29 Aug
Cosenza
1 : 2 Potenza
08 Aug
Ascoli
3 : 1 Potenza
20 May
Ascoli
1 : 0 Potenza
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bari | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10:4 | 16 |
| 2 | Sorrento | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10:5 | 15 |
| 3 | Potenza | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:8 | 13 |
| 4 | Picerno | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 14:11 | 12 |
| 5 | Casertana | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11:8 | 12 |
| 6 | Audace Cerignola | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:7 | 10 |
| 7 | Inter U23 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:11 | 10 |
| 8 | Casarano | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:10 | 10 |
| 9 | Salernitana | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 9 |
| 10 | Monopoli | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:4 | 8 |
| 11 | Cavese | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | 8 |
| 12 | Catania | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:8 | 7 |
| 13 | Barletta | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 10:9 | 7 |
| 14 | Scafatese | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 15 | Altamura | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:8 | 7 |
| 16 | A.C. Savoia | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | 6 |
| 17 | Foggia | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | 5 |
| 18 | Giugliano | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11:16 | 4 |
| 19 | Cosenza | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:16 | 2 |
| 20 | Crotone | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:10 | 0 |
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)
