Sport Picks
Salford vs Chesterfield - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
League Two Peninsula Stadium, Salford 
Match Events
2'
2'
Bonis L.
44'
44'
Mandeville L.
53'
53'
Simpson J.
AI Match Summary
The League Two game between Salford and Chesterfield finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chesterfield.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
20%
20%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Salford
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
60%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Salford come out ahead of Chesterfield on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Salford's way, sitting at 60%.
- Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Chesterfield have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Salford Clean Sheet 68%
Chesterfield Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Salford | Chesterfield |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 16 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 7 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.68 | 1.56 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.18 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 League Two
Salford vs Chesterfield
0:1
Jan 27, 2026 League Two
Salford vs Chesterfield
0:1
Oct 11, 2025 League Two
Chesterfield vs Salford
2:0
Mar 11, 2025 League Two
Salford vs Chesterfield
0:4
Aug 24, 2024 League Two
Chesterfield vs Salford
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Salford Compare
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Chesterfield Compare
Top Goalscorer Bonis L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Salford 68 / 100
Chesterfield 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Salford Chesterfield
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Salford Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Salford's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Chesterfield has conceded goals in 81% of their last 27 outings.
Solid form: Salford remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Salford VS Chesterfield
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Salford
(Home) 31 Oct
Salford
2 : 1 Exeter
26 Oct
Walsall
2 : 4 Salford
20 Oct
Bristol Rovers
1 : 2 Salford
17 Oct
Salford
2 : 1 Crawley Town
10 Oct
Cheltenham
0 : 2 Salford
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Salford
2 : 1 Exeter
17 Oct
Salford
2 : 1 Crawley Town
03 Oct
Salford
1 : 0 Fleetwood Town
22 Sept
Salford
1 : 2 Sheffield Wed
19 Sept
Salford
1 : 0 Swindon
Page 1 of 3
Chesterfield
(Away) 30 Oct
Newport
4 : 1 Chesterfield
24 Oct
Chesterfield
5 : 1 Crewe
20 Oct
Chesterfield
1 : 1 Colchester
17 Oct
Port Vale
1 : 0 Chesterfield
10 Oct
Crawley Town
2 : 2 Chesterfield
Page 1 of 6
30 Oct
Newport
4 : 1 Chesterfield
17 Oct
Port Vale
1 : 0 Chesterfield
10 Oct
Crawley Town
2 : 2 Chesterfield
26 Sept
Cheltenham
2 : 1 Chesterfield
12 Sept
Oldham
1 : 2 Chesterfield
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 | Barnet | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 | Walsall | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 | Crewe | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 | York City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 | Gillingham | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 | Accrington | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 | Tranmere | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 | Exeter | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 | Swindon | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 | Newport | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 | Shrewsbury | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 | Oldham | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 19 | Port Vale | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 20 | Rochdale | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 21 | Northampton | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 9:10 | 14 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 | Colchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
