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Salford vs Exeter - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League Two Peninsula Stadium, Salford
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Norris W.
34' Event
Cox S.
Assist: Scully A.
44'
Bonds E.

AI Match Summary

Salford in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Salford.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Salford
15%
Draws
34%
Exeter
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Salford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Salford have won more games recently than Exeter.
  • Salford are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Salford Clean Sheet 20%
Exeter Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Salford Exeter
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 9
Draws 5 9
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.62 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.17 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 League Two
Salford vs Exeter
2:1
Mar 12, 2022 League Two
Exeter vs Salford
0:0
Oct 30, 2021 League Two
Salford vs Exeter
1:2
Mar 27, 2021 League Two
Exeter vs Salford
1:0
Sep 12, 2020 League Two
Salford vs Exeter
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Salford Compare

Top Goalscorer Garbutt L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aimson W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Exeter Compare

Top Goalscorer Cox S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Salford 58 / 100
Exeter 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Salford Exeter

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Salford Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Salford has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Salford scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Exeter let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Salford VS Exeter
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Salford

(Home)
31 Oct
Salford
2 : 1
Exeter
26 Oct
Walsall
2 : 4
Salford
20 Oct
Bristol Rovers
1 : 2
Salford
17 Oct
Salford
2 : 1
Crawley Town
10 Oct
Cheltenham
0 : 2
Salford
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Exeter

(Away)
31 Oct
Salford
2 : 1
Exeter
24 Oct
Exeter
2 : 1
Fleetwood Town
20 Oct
Exeter
2 : 0
Crewe
17 Oct
Colchester
0 : 0
Exeter
10 Oct
Shrewsbury
0 : 1
Exeter
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salford 14 10 1 3 25:15 31
2 Barnet 13 7 5 1 28:18 26
3 Walsall 13 5 7 1 21:12 22
4 Crewe 14 5 7 2 17:17 22
5 Cheltenham 14 6 3 5 23:25 21
6 Grimsby 14 5 5 4 24:18 20
7 York City 14 5 5 4 24:21 20
8 Gillingham 14 5 5 4 20:19 20
9 Accrington 14 4 7 3 23:17 19
10 Chesterfield 14 5 4 5 24:21 19
11 Tranmere 14 4 7 3 19:17 19
12 Exeter 14 5 4 5 11:9 19
13 Swindon 14 5 4 5 15:17 19
14 Newport 14 4 6 4 20:17 18
15 Shrewsbury 14 5 3 6 17:22 18
16 Fleetwood Town 14 4 5 5 18:18 17
17 Bristol Rovers 14 5 1 8 17:23 16
18 Oldham 14 4 3 7 15:19 15
19 Port Vale 12 4 3 5 10:14 15
20 Rochdale 14 4 3 7 17:26 15
21 Northampton 13 3 5 5 9:10 14
22 Rotherham 14 2 6 6 18:25 12
23 Colchester 13 2 6 5 12:19 12
24 Crawley Town 12 2 3 7 13:21 9
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)