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Salford vs Grimsby

England England

League Two 2025/2026 Peninsula Stadium, Salford
Fri, May 15, 2026
2 - 2
06:15 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Udoh D.
Assist: Oluwo A.
61'
Sub
Turi G. D. In: Kabia J.
Out: Turi G. D.
62'
Sub
Burns D. In: Amaluzor J.
Out: Burns D.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-2. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Salford
35%
Draws
32%
Grimsby
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Salford come out ahead of Grimsby on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Salford have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Grimsby, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Salford Clean Sheet 16%
Grimsby Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Salford Grimsby
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 15 14
Draws 5 11
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.4 1.84
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 League Two
Salford vs Grimsby
2:2
May 10, 2026 League Two
Grimsby vs Salford
1:2
Mar 3, 2026 League Two
Grimsby vs Salford
3:1
Oct 4, 2025 League Two
Salford vs Grimsby
0:2
Mar 15, 2025 League Two
Grimsby vs Salford
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Salford Compare

Top Goalscorer Udoh D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cesay K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Grimsby Compare

Top Goalscorer Green K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kabia J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Salford 31 / 100
Grimsby 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Salford Grimsby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Salford scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Grimsby let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Salford remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Salford VS Grimsby
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Salford

(Home)
12 Sept
Rotherham
3 : 3
Salford
05 Sept
Salford
1 : 0
Port Vale
01 Sept
Salford
2 : 1
Newport
29 Aug
Shrewsbury
1 : 0
Salford
22 Aug
Salford
0 : 1
Chesterfield
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Grimsby

(Away)
12 Sept
Grimsby
2 : 0
Bristol Rovers
05 Sept
Cheltenham
2 : 2
Grimsby
01 Sept
Accrington
2 : 2
Grimsby
29 Aug
Grimsby
2 : 2
Fleetwood Town
22 Aug
Walsall
0 : 0
Grimsby
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Notts County 1
Chesterfield 0
Salford 4
Grimsby 3
Final
Notts County 3
Salford 0