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Salford vs Port Vale - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League Two Peninsula Stadium, Salford
Our Tip

Match Events

51'
Dempsey K.
52' Event
Powell J.
Assist: Molyneux L.
53'
Sub
Asamoah M. In: Hernandez O.
Out: Asamoah M.

AI Match Summary

Salford in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Salford.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Salford
15%
Draws
34%
Port Vale
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Salford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Salford have won more games recently than Port Vale.
  • Model gives Salford a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Salford Clean Sheet 20%
Port Vale Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Salford Port Vale
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 15 10
Draws 5 4
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.45 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 League Two
Salford vs Port Vale
1:0
Feb 22, 2025 League Two
Port Vale vs Salford
2:1
Aug 20, 2024 EFL Trophy
Salford vs Port Vale
0:2
Aug 10, 2024 League Two
Salford vs Port Vale
0:2
Dec 20, 2022 EFL Trophy
Salford vs Port Vale
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Salford Compare

Top Goalscorer Powell J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Port Vale Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Salford 58 / 100
Port Vale 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Salford Port Vale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Salford Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Salford's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Port Vale has conceded goals in 63% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Salford has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Salford VS Port Vale
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Salford

(Home)
06 Oct
Accrington
2 : 1
Salford
03 Oct
Salford
1 : 0
Fleetwood Town
26 Sept
Oldham
1 : 4
Salford
22 Sept
Salford
1 : 2
Sheffield Wed
19 Sept
Salford
1 : 0
Swindon
Page 1 of 6

Port Vale

(Away)
06 Oct
Port Vale
2 : 0
Mansfield
22 Sept
Chesterfield
2 : 1
Port Vale
19 Sept
Walsall
2 : 0
Port Vale
12 Sept
Port Vale
1 : 0
Exeter
05 Sept
Salford
1 : 0
Port Vale
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salford 9 5 1 3 13:10 16
2 Barnet 7 4 3 0 17:10 15
3 Crewe 9 3 6 0 11:7 15
4 Cheltenham 9 4 3 2 16:14 15
5 Bristol Rovers 9 5 0 4 14:14 15
6 York City 8 4 2 2 16:10 14
7 Walsall 8 3 5 0 11:5 14
8 Chesterfield 9 4 2 3 15:12 14
9 Grimsby 9 3 4 2 13:10 13
10 Gillingham 9 3 4 2 11:9 13
11 Rochdale 9 4 1 4 10:11 13
12 Tranmere 9 2 5 2 12:12 11
13 Swindon 9 3 2 4 9:13 11
14 Shrewsbury 9 3 2 4 9:14 11
15 Newport 9 2 4 3 12:12 10
16 Accrington 9 2 4 3 13:14 10
17 Rotherham 9 2 4 3 11:12 10
18 Fleetwood Town 9 2 4 3 9:10 10
19 Colchester 8 2 4 2 10:12 10
20 Exeter 9 2 3 4 5:6 9
21 Oldham 8 2 1 5 9:13 7
22 Northampton 7 1 3 3 3:6 6
23 Port Vale 7 1 2 4 3:9 5
24 Crawley Town 7 1 1 5 6:13 4
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)