Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Salford vs Rotherham

England England

EFL Trophy 2025/2026 Peninsula Stadium, Salford
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Siri N.
18' Event
Ayres J.
22' Event
Clarke J.
Assist: Holmes J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-7, with Rotherham advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Salford
30%
Draws
34%
Rotherham
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Salford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Salford carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Salford's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Salford have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Rotherham, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Salford Clean Sheet 20%
Rotherham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Salford Rotherham
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 6
Draws 3 7
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 2, 2025 EFL Trophy
Salford vs Rotherham
2:7
Aug 12, 2025 EFL Cup
Salford vs Rotherham
0:1
Jul 13, 2022 Club Friendly
Salford vs Rotherham
1:1
Sep 5, 2020 EFL Cup
Salford vs Rotherham
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Salford Compare

Top Goalscorer Siri N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stockton C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Rotherham Compare

Top Goalscorer Benson J.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Ayres J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Salford 36 / 100
Rotherham 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Salford Rotherham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Salford found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Rotherham let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Salford went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Salford VS Rotherham
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Salford

(Home)
18 Jul
United of Manchester
1 : 4
Salford
25 May
Notts County
3 : 0
Salford
15 May
Salford
2 : 2
Grimsby
10 May
Grimsby
1 : 2
Salford
02 May
Crawley Town
0 : 0
Salford
Page 1 of 6

Rotherham

(Away)
21 Jul
Alfreton
0 : 1
Rotherham
18 Jul
Matlock
1 : 1
Rotherham
14 Jul
AFC Emley
1 : 1
Rotherham
10 Jul
Parkgate
0 : 1
Rotherham
02 May
Wycombe
3 : 2
Rotherham
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Lincoln City0
Huddersfield2
Salford2
Rotherham7
Doncaster5
Chesterfield1
Tranmere0
Fleetwood Town3
Bolton3
Bradford City0
Port Vale5
Barnsley0
Crewe1
Stockport County2
Harrogate4
Blackpool2
Luton4
Exeter0
Swindon1
Peterborough0
Bristol Rovers3
Cambridge Utd2
Leyton Orient0
Plymouth1
Cardiff1
AFC Wimbledon5
Colchester0
West Ham U211
Northampton2
Wycombe0
Stevenage1
Walsall2
1/8-finals
Huddersfield3
Rotherham0
Doncaster3
Fleetwood Town1
Bolton0
Port Vale1
Stockport County2
Harrogate1
Luton1
Swindon2
Bristol Rovers3
Plymouth4
AFC Wimbledon4
West Ham U212
Northampton4
Walsall2
Quarter-finals
Huddersfield1
Doncaster2
Port Vale0
Stockport County4
Luton2
Plymouth1
AFC Wimbledon1
Northampton2
Semi-finals
Doncaster0
Stockport County1
Luton2
Northampton1
Final
Stockport County1
Luton3