Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Salford vs Rotherham

England England

EFL Trophy 2025/2026 Peninsula Stadium, Salford
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Siri N.
18' Event
Ayres J.
22' Event
Clarke J.
Assist: Holmes J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-7, with Rotherham advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Salford
20%
Draws
36%
Rotherham
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Salford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Salford carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Salford's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Salford have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Rotherham, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Salford Clean Sheet 18%
Rotherham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Salford Rotherham
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 16 15
Draws 4 9
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.37 1.85
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 2, 2025 EFL Trophy
Salford vs Rotherham
2:7
Aug 12, 2025 EFL Cup
Salford vs Rotherham
0:1
Jul 13, 2022 Club Friendly
Salford vs Rotherham
1:1
Sep 5, 2020 EFL Cup
Salford vs Rotherham
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Salford Compare

Top Goalscorer Siri N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stockton C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Rotherham Compare

Top Goalscorer Benson J.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Ayres J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Salford 36 / 100
Rotherham 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Salford Rotherham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Salford found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Rotherham let in goals in 67% of their last 39 matches.

Salford went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Salford VS Rotherham
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Salford

(Home)
05 Sept
Salford
1 : 0
Port Vale
01 Sept
Salford
2 : 1
Newport
29 Aug
Shrewsbury
1 : 0
Salford
22 Aug
Salford
0 : 1
Chesterfield
15 Aug
Barnet
3 : 1
Salford
Page 1 of 6

Rotherham

(Away)
05 Sept
Bristol Rovers
1 : 0
Rotherham
01 Sept
Tranmere
2 : 2
Rotherham
29 Aug
Rotherham
2 : 1
Chesterfield
22 Aug
Rotherham
1 : 1
York City
15 Aug
Cheltenham
2 : 1
Rotherham
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Lincoln City 0
Huddersfield 2
Salford 2
Rotherham 7
Doncaster 5
Chesterfield 1
Tranmere 0
Fleetwood Town 3
Bolton 3
Bradford City 0
Port Vale 5
Barnsley 0
Crewe 1
Stockport County 2
Harrogate 4
Blackpool 2
Luton 4
Exeter 0
Swindon 1
Peterborough 0
Bristol Rovers 3
Cambridge Utd 2
Leyton Orient 0
Plymouth 1
Cardiff 1
AFC Wimbledon 5
Colchester 0
West Ham U21 1
Northampton 2
Wycombe 0
Stevenage 1
Walsall 2
1/8-finals
Huddersfield 3
Rotherham 0
Doncaster 3
Fleetwood Town 1
Bolton 0
Port Vale 1
Stockport County 2
Harrogate 1
Luton 1
Swindon 2
Bristol Rovers 3
Plymouth 4
AFC Wimbledon 4
West Ham U21 2
Northampton 4
Walsall 2
Quarter-finals
Huddersfield 1
Doncaster 2
Port Vale 0
Stockport County 4
Luton 2
Plymouth 1
AFC Wimbledon 1
Northampton 2
Semi-finals
Doncaster 0
Stockport County 1
Luton 2
Northampton 1
Final
Stockport County 1
Luton 3