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Salgotarjani BTC vs Mateszalkai MTK Prediction & H2H Stats

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Northeast
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Peti G.
83' Event
Bokonyi A.
86' Event
Bokonyi A.

AI Match Summary

The NB III - Northeast game between Salgotarjani BTC and Mateszalkai MTK finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mateszalkai MTK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Salgotarjani BTC
15%
Draws
59%
Mateszalkai MTK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mateszalkai MTK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Mateszalkai MTK's 1.32 goals per match outpaces what Salgotarjani BTC have produced (1.03).
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Salgotarjani BTC Clean Sheet 15%
Mateszalkai MTK Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Salgotarjani BTC Mateszalkai MTK
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 7
Draws 5 3
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 1.03 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Hungarian Cup
Salgotarjani BTC vs Mateszalkai MTK
0:2
Aug 8, 2026 NB III - Northeast
Salgotarjani BTC vs Mateszalkai MTK
1:2
May 25, 2025 NB III - Northeast
Mateszalkai MTK vs Salgotarjani BTC
2:3
Nov 10, 2024 NB III - Northeast
Salgotarjani BTC vs Mateszalkai MTK
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Salgotarjani BTC Compare

Top Goalscorer Peti G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Mateszalkai MTK Compare

Top Goalscorer Bokonyi A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Salgotarjani BTC 31 / 100
Mateszalkai MTK 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Salgotarjani BTC Mateszalkai MTK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mateszalkai MTK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mateszalkai MTK conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Salgotarjani BTC found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Salgotarjani BTC stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Salgotarjani BTC VS Mateszalkai MTK
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Salgotarjani BTC

(Home)
26 Sept
Salgotarjani BTC
0 : 1
Fuzesabony
19 Sept
Tarpa
1 : 2
Salgotarjani BTC
05 Sept
Salgotarjani BTC
0 : 1
DVTK II
29 Aug
Tiszafuredi
2 : 1
Salgotarjani BTC
26 Aug
Salgotarjani BTC
0 : 3
Hajdunanas
Page 1 of 6

Mateszalkai MTK

(Away)
26 Sept
Mateszalkai MTK
2 : 1
Ozd-Sajovolgye
19 Sept
Eger
0 : 3
Mateszalkai MTK
12 Sept
Mateszalkai MTK
1 : 3
Kozarmisleny SE
05 Sept
Mateszalkai MTK
1 : 1
Debreceni EAC
29 Aug
Fuzesabony
3 : 0
Mateszalkai MTK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cigand SE 9 7 1 1 22:7 22
2 Ozd-Sajovolgye 9 7 0 2 23:8 21
3 Debreceni EAC 9 5 2 2 22:13 17
4 DVTK II 9 4 4 1 17:12 16
5 Godollo 9 5 0 4 12:10 15
6 Fuzesabony 9 5 0 4 10:8 15
7 Mateszalkai MTK 9 4 3 2 15:12 15
8 Kisvarda FC II 9 3 5 1 13:11 14
9 Debrecen II 9 4 1 4 23:20 13
10 Eger 9 4 1 4 10:20 13
11 Tiszaujvaros 9 4 0 5 10:11 12
12 Hajdunanas 9 3 1 5 17:18 10
13 Tiszafuredi 9 3 0 6 6:13 9
14 Salgotarjani BTC 9 2 0 7 6:15 6
15 Tarpa 9 2 0 7 7:20 6
16 Nyiregyhaza II 9 1 0 8 10:25 3
Promotion - NB III - Northeast (Promotion - Play Offs)