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Salisbury United vs Cumberland United

Australia Australia

SA State League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Salisbury United play Cumberland United in the SA State League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Salisbury United averaged 1.5 goals scored and 2.63 conceded. Cumberland United averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Salisbury United won 2, Cumberland United won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 30, 2026 ended 4:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Salisbury United and 2.19 for Cumberland United. This points to a Cumberland United double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Salisbury United
6%
Draws
90%
Cumberland United
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Cumberland United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Cumberland United has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Salisbury United.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Cumberland United.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in SA State League provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Salisbury United Clean Sheet 10%
Cumberland United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Salisbury United Cumberland United
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 14
Draws 5 4
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 SA State League
Cumberland United vs Salisbury United
4:3
Feb 28, 2026 SA State League
Salisbury United vs Cumberland United
1:1
May 31, 2025 SA State League
Salisbury United vs Cumberland United
4:0
Feb 23, 2025 SA State League
Cumberland United vs Salisbury United
2:0
Aug 17, 2024 SA State League
Cumberland United vs Salisbury United
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Salisbury United Compare

Top Goalscorer Farrell J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Cumberland United Compare

Top Goalscorer Ellul M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Salisbury United 10 / 100
Cumberland United 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Salisbury United Cumberland United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CUM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Salisbury United scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Cumberland United let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Salisbury United went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Cumberland United lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Salisbury United VS Cumberland United
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Adelaide Croatia Raiders17111546:2334
2Fulham United17103437:2433
3Adelaide Olympic17101632:2331
4Adelaide Atletico1793533:2430
5Modbury Jets1685330:1329
6Blue Eagles1683528:2427
7Cumberland United1781829:2325
8The Cove FC1774624:2425
9Eastern United1744918:3316
10Adelaide Cobras17511121:3716
11Salisbury United17321219:3911
12South Adelaide17321217:4711