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Salisbury vs Harrow Borough

England England

Southern League Premier South 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Nnadozie T.
38' Event
Seabrook H.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier South 2023/2024 game between Salisbury and Harrow Borough finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Harrow Borough.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Salisbury
15%
Draws
41%
Harrow Borough
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Salisbury

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Salisbury come out ahead of Harrow Borough on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Salisbury's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Southern League Premier South 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Salisbury Clean Sheet 20%
Harrow Borough Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Salisbury Harrow Borough
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 6 4
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.87 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Salisbury vs Harrow Borough
0:2
Nov 4, 2023 Southern League Premier South
Harrow Borough vs Salisbury
2:3
Feb 14, 2023 Southern League Premier South
Salisbury vs Harrow Borough
0:0
Nov 26, 2022 Southern League Premier South
Harrow Borough vs Salisbury
0:1
Apr 9, 2022 Southern League Premier South
Harrow Borough vs Salisbury
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Salisbury Compare

Avg xG / game 1.57
Avg xA / game 1.02

Harrow Borough Compare

Top Goalscorer Nnadozie T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Seabrook H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Salisbury 49 / 100
Harrow Borough 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Salisbury Harrow Borough

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Salisbury Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Salisbury scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Harrow Borough conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Salisbury stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Salisbury VS Harrow Borough
2.88 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Salisbury

(Home)
26 Sept
Salisbury
2 : 0
Folkestone
19 Sept
Salisbury
4 : 1
Taunton Town
15 Sept
Truro
0 : 1
Salisbury
12 Sept
Ebbsfleet
1 : 1
Salisbury
08 Sept
Salisbury
5 : 1
Slough Town
Page 1 of 6

Harrow Borough

(Away)
13 Dec
Leatherhead
3 : 2
Harrow Borough
15 Nov
King’s Lynn
2 : 3
Harrow Borough
25 Oct
Stanway Rovers
1 : 2
Harrow Borough
04 Oct
Harrow Borough
3 : 1
FC Witham Town
20 Sept
Harrow Borough
4 : 0
Jersey Bulls
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chesham 42 28 6 8 83:46 90
2 AFC Totton 42 23 12 7 89:45 81
3 Salisbury 42 23 10 9 70:46 79
4 Gosport Borough 42 23 9 10 75:43 78
5 Bracknell Town 42 21 5 16 84:71 68
6 Merthyr Town 42 20 7 15 85:59 67
7 Walton & Hersham 42 18 11 13 78:67 65
8 Hungerford 42 18 10 14 77:70 64
9 Dorchester 42 17 9 16 66:77 60
10 Hendon 42 14 16 12 70:65 58
11 Winchester City 42 15 12 15 63:67 57
12 Basingstoke 42 15 8 19 69:83 53
13 Poole Town 42 16 4 22 70:76 52
14 Tiverton 42 14 10 18 64:74 52
15 Sholing 42 13 10 19 52:63 49
16 Swindon Supermarine 42 13 10 19 73:92 49
17 Hanwell Town 42 12 12 18 64:71 48
18 Plymouth Parkway 42 12 12 18 60:68 48
19 Beaconsfield Town 42 13 9 20 63:78 48
20 Hayes & Yeading 42 11 13 18 59:67 46
21 Harrow Borough 42 10 9 23 60:97 39
22 Didcot 42 6 10 26 45:94 28
Promotion - National League South 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South 2023/2024 (Play Offs)