Sport Picks
Match Events
17'
17'
Bradbury C.
83'
83'
Longe-King D.
90'
90'
Campbell R.
AI Match Summary
Hemel Hempstead in this National League South matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hemel Hempstead.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
35%
17%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Salisbury
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Salisbury have won more games recently than Hemel Hempstead.
- Model gives Salisbury a 48% chance of winning this.
- Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Salisbury Clean Sheet 20%
Hemel Hempstead Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Salisbury | Hemel Hempstead |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.13 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 National League South
Salisbury vs Hemel Hempstead
1:2
Apr 25, 2026 National League South
Hemel Hempstead vs Salisbury
1:1
Dec 6, 2025 National League South
Salisbury vs Hemel Hempstead
1:0
Nov 30, 2024 National League South
Salisbury vs Hemel Hempstead
5:0
Aug 10, 2024 National League South
Hemel Hempstead vs Salisbury
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Salisbury Compare
Top Goalscorer Bradbury C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Hemel Hempstead Compare
Top Goalscorer Longe-King D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Campbell R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Salisbury 85 / 100
Hemel Hempstead 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Salisbury Hemel Hempstead
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Salisbury Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Salisbury found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).
Salisbury went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Hemel Hempstead has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Salisbury VS Hemel Hempstead
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Salisbury
(Home) 19 Sept
Salisbury
4 : 1 Taunton Town
15 Sept
Truro
0 : 1 Salisbury
12 Sept
Ebbsfleet
1 : 1 Salisbury
08 Sept
Salisbury
5 : 1 Slough Town
05 Sept
Chelmsford
1 : 1 Salisbury
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Salisbury
4 : 1 Taunton Town
08 Sept
Salisbury
5 : 1 Slough Town
31 Aug
Salisbury
1 : 0 Billericay
22 Aug
Salisbury
1 : 2 Hemel Hempstead
08 Aug
Salisbury
5 : 0 Hampton & Richmond
Page 1 of 3
Hemel Hempstead
(Away) 19 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1 Wingate & Finchley
12 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1 Tonbridge
08 Sept
Ebbsfleet
0 : 0 Hemel Hempstead
05 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1 Farnham
31 Aug
Folkestone
2 : 0 Hemel Hempstead
Page 1 of 6
08 Sept
Ebbsfleet
0 : 0 Hemel Hempstead
31 Aug
Folkestone
2 : 0 Hemel Hempstead
22 Aug
Salisbury
1 : 2 Hemel Hempstead
15 Aug
Farnborough
0 : 2 Hemel Hempstead
01 Aug
St. Albans
1 : 1 Hemel Hempstead
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maidstone | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | 19 |
| 2 | Weston-super-Mare | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:7 | 17 |
| 3 | Dagenham & Red. | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9:7 | 16 |
| 4 | Salisbury | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:7 | 15 |
| 5 | Billericay | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 18:14 | 15 |
| 6 | Tonbridge | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 18:9 | 14 |
| 7 | Truro | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:4 | 14 |
| 8 | Dover Ath. | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:16 | 14 |
| 9 | Dorking Wanderers | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 18:13 | 13 |
| 10 | Torquay | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:11 | 13 |
| 11 | Farnham | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 12 | Folkestone | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 15:9 | 12 |
| 13 | Chesham | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 16:15 | 10 |
| 14 | Chelmsford | 8 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 15 | Horsham FC | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:10 | 10 |
| 16 | Hemel Hempstead | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:10 | 10 |
| 17 | Maidenhead | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:11 | 10 |
| 18 | Braintree | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:18 | 10 |
| 19 | AFC Totton | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:13 | 10 |
| 20 | Farnborough | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 10 |
| 21 | Hampton & Richmond | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:23 | 8 |
| 22 | Ebbsfleet | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:1 | 5 |
| 23 | Slough Town | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9:21 | 3 |
| 24 | Walton & Hersham | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4:24 | 1 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
