Sport Picks
Salisbury vs Hemel Hempstead - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
National League South 
Match Events
17'
17'
Bradbury C.
83'
83'
Longe-King D.
90'
90'
Campbell R.
AI Match Summary
Hemel Hempstead in this National League South matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hemel Hempstead.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
61%
30%
9%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Salisbury
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Salisbury have won more games recently than Hemel Hempstead.
- Model gives Salisbury a 61% chance of winning this.
- Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Salisbury Clean Sheet 20%
Hemel Hempstead Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Salisbury | Hemel Hempstead |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 5 |
| Draws | 6 | 11 |
| Losses | 7 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2.29 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 National League South
Salisbury vs Hemel Hempstead
1:2
Apr 25, 2026 National League South
Hemel Hempstead vs Salisbury
1:1
Dec 6, 2025 National League South
Salisbury vs Hemel Hempstead
1:0
Nov 30, 2024 National League South
Salisbury vs Hemel Hempstead
5:0
Aug 10, 2024 National League South
Hemel Hempstead vs Salisbury
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Salisbury Compare
Top Goalscorer Bradbury C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13
Hemel Hempstead Compare
Top Goalscorer Longe-King D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Campbell R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Salisbury 85 / 100
Hemel Hempstead 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Salisbury Hemel Hempstead
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Salisbury Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Salisbury found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (28 games).
Salisbury went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Hemel Hempstead has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Salisbury VS Hemel Hempstead
2.63 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Salisbury
(Home) 31 Oct
Tonbridge
1 : 2 Salisbury
27 Oct
Walton & Hersham
0 : 2 Salisbury
24 Oct
Salisbury
1 : 1 Dover Ath.
17 Oct
Salisbury
3 : 0 Eastbourne Borough
10 Oct
Farnham
1 : 2 Salisbury
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
Salisbury
1 : 1 Dover Ath.
17 Oct
Salisbury
3 : 0 Eastbourne Borough
03 Oct
Salisbury
5 : 0 Dulwich Hamlet
26 Sept
Salisbury
2 : 0 Folkestone
19 Sept
Salisbury
4 : 1 Taunton Town
Page 1 of 3
Hemel Hempstead
(Away) 31 Oct
Billericay
5 : 0 Hemel Hempstead
27 Oct
Dorking Wanderers
3 : 3 Hemel Hempstead
24 Oct
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 3 AFC Totton
17 Oct
Tonbridge
1 : 0 Hemel Hempstead
10 Oct
Dagenham & Red.
0 : 0 Hemel Hempstead
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Billericay
5 : 0 Hemel Hempstead
27 Oct
Dorking Wanderers
3 : 3 Hemel Hempstead
17 Oct
Tonbridge
1 : 0 Hemel Hempstead
10 Oct
Dagenham & Red.
0 : 0 Hemel Hempstead
26 Sept
Slough Town
0 : 2 Hemel Hempstead
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ebbsfleet | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 35:10 | 31 |
| 2 | Truro | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 27:12 | 30 |
| 3 | Maidstone | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 26:18 | 29 |
| 4 | Salisbury | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 25:10 | 28 |
| 5 | Dorking Wanderers | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 34:23 | 27 |
| 6 | Farnham | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 29:19 | 26 |
| 7 | Billericay | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 32:16 | 25 |
| 8 | Tonbridge | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 27:16 | 24 |
| 9 | Dagenham & Red. | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 13:11 | 24 |
| 10 | Horsham FC | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 21:16 | 22 |
| 11 | Dover Ath. | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20:19 | 22 |
| 12 | Chelmsford | 14 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 21:14 | 21 |
| 13 | Torquay | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 22:17 | 20 |
| 14 | Folkestone | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22:18 | 20 |
| 15 | Weston-super-Mare | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 21:21 | 18 |
| 16 | Farnborough | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 12:31 | 17 |
| 17 | Braintree | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 21:34 | 16 |
| 18 | AFC Totton | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 14:27 | 16 |
| 19 | Maidenhead | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14:19 | 15 |
| 20 | Hemel Hempstead | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14:22 | 15 |
| 21 | Chesham | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 20:32 | 11 |
| 22 | Hampton & Richmond | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 18:36 | 9 |
| 23 | Walton & Hersham | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10:33 | 8 |
| 24 | Slough Town | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 15:39 | 4 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
