Sport Picks
Match Events
83'
83'
Sesay D.
AI Match Summary
Maidstone in this National League South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maidstone.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Maidstone lately — more wins on the board than Salisbury.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
- History favors Maidstone here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Salisbury Clean Sheet 10%
Maidstone Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Salisbury | Maidstone |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 17 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.86 | 2.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 28, 2026 National League South
Salisbury vs Maidstone
0:1
Nov 29, 2025 National League South
Maidstone vs Salisbury
1:0
Mar 1, 2025 National League South
Maidstone vs Salisbury
3:2
Dec 17, 2024 National League South
Salisbury vs Maidstone
0:2
Nov 24, 2012 FA Trophy
Maidstone vs Salisbury
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Salisbury Compare
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Maidstone Compare
Top Goalscorer Sesay D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Salisbury 34 / 100
Maidstone 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Salisbury Maidstone
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Maidstone Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Salisbury's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Maidstone's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Salisbury went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Salisbury VS Maidstone
2.88 Goals Scored 3.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Salisbury
(Home) 15 Aug
Horsham FC
0 : 0 Salisbury
08 Aug
Salisbury
5 : 0 Hampton & Richmond
31 Jul
Salisbury
5 : 0 Havant & Waterlooville
25 Jul
Frome Town
3 : 0 Salisbury
18 Jul
Wimborne
1 : 3 Salisbury
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Salisbury
5 : 0 Hampton & Richmond
31 Jul
Salisbury
5 : 0 Havant & Waterlooville
11 Jul
Salisbury
2 : 3 Bristol Rovers
18 Apr
Salisbury
2 : 1 Horsham FC
06 Apr
Salisbury
1 : 2 Weston-super-Mare
Page 1 of 3
Maidstone
(Away) 18 Aug
Maidstone
1 : 1 Folkestone
15 Aug
Walton & Hersham
0 : 3 Maidstone
08 Aug
Maidstone
1 : 2 Farnborough
01 Aug
Chatham
0 : 3 Maidstone
28 Jul
Maidstone
5 : 0 Brentwood
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Walton & Hersham
0 : 3 Maidstone
01 Aug
Chatham
0 : 3 Maidstone
18 Jul
Ramsgate
1 : 3 Maidstone
25 Apr
Bath City
2 : 3 Maidstone
11 Apr
Horsham FC
0 : 0 Maidstone
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Worthing FC | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 99:52 | 84 |
| 2 | Hornchurch | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 81:64 | 81 |
| 3 | Torquay | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 87:62 | 80 |
| 4 | Dorking Wanderers | 46 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 78:61 | 79 |
| 5 | Hemel Hempstead | 46 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 55:48 | 79 |
| 6 | Weston-super-Mare | 46 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 61:48 | 78 |
| 7 | Maidenhead | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 66:41 | 77 |
| 8 | Maidstone | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 72:50 | 77 |
| 9 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 73:54 | 77 |
| 10 | Chelmsford | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 73:62 | 73 |
| 11 | Chesham | 46 | 21 | 9 | 16 | 68:55 | 72 |
| 12 | AFC Totton | 46 | 20 | 6 | 20 | 60:79 | 66 |
| 13 | Dagenham & Red. | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 61:62 | 64 |
| 14 | Tonbridge | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 66:65 | 60 |
| 15 | Horsham FC | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 53:54 | 59 |
| 16 | Slough Town | 46 | 15 | 9 | 22 | 69:87 | 54 |
| 17 | Salisbury | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 50:65 | 53 |
| 18 | Hampton & Richmond | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 56:72 | 53 |
| 19 | Farnborough | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 72:92 | 53 |
| 20 | Dover Ath. | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 60:75 | 50 |
| 21 | Bath City | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 50:77 | 43 |
| 22 | Chippenham Town | 46 | 11 | 9 | 26 | 53:80 | 42 |
| 23 | Enfield Town | 46 | 9 | 13 | 24 | 55:82 | 40 |
| 24 | Eastbourne Borough | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 59:90 | 36 |
Promotion - National League (Main)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
