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Salitas vs Sonabel Ouagadougou

Burkina Faso Burkina Faso

Premier League 2025/2026 Stade du 4 Aout, Ouagadougou
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Salitas
15%
Draws
39%
Sonabel Ouagadougou
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Salitas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Salitas lately — more wins on the board than Sonabel Ouagadougou.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Salitas Clean Sheet 20%
Sonabel Ouagadougou Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Salitas Sonabel Ouagadougou
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 8
Draws 9 11
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Premier League
Salitas vs Sonabel Ouagadougou
0:0
Nov 30, 2025 Premier League
Sonabel Ouagadougou vs Salitas
1:1
Mar 14, 2025 Premier League
Sonabel Ouagadougou vs Salitas
3:2
Nov 23, 2024 Premier League
Salitas vs Sonabel Ouagadougou
0:1
Jun 6, 2024 Premier League
Salitas vs Sonabel Ouagadougou
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Salitas 36 / 100
Sonabel Ouagadougou 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Salitas Sonabel Ouagadougou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sonabel Ouagadougou Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Salitas's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Sonabel Ouagadougou let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Salitas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Salitas VS Sonabel Ouagadougou
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Salitas

(Home)
20 Sept
Salitas
2 : 2
ASF Dioulasso
10 May
Salitas
3 : 2
ASF Dioulasso
03 May
Salitas
2 : 1
AS Douanes
26 Apr
Vitesse
3 : 1
Salitas
19 Apr
Kadiogo
4 : 1
Salitas
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Sonabel Ouagadougou

(Away)
18 Sept
Sonabel Ouagadougou
0 : 1
Majestic
10 May
Sonabel Ouagadougou
1 : 0
ASFA Yennega
03 May
Sonabel Ouagadougou
2 : 0
ASF Dioulasso
26 Apr
AS Douanes
2 : 1
Sonabel Ouagadougou
18 Apr
Bobo-Dioulasso
1 : 0
Sonabel Ouagadougou
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rahimo 30 20 9 1 47:15 69
2 USFA 30 12 13 5 31:17 49
3 Sporting Cascades 30 10 13 7 25:18 43
4 AS Douanes 30 10 13 7 29:29 43
5 Majestic 30 11 10 9 26:27 43
6 CFFEB 30 10 10 10 25:25 40
7 Salitas 30 10 10 10 29:31 40
8 Kadiogo 30 10 8 12 27:27 38
9 ASFA Yennega 30 9 11 10 24:28 38
10 Vitesse 30 9 10 11 25:25 37
11 Real Du Faso 30 9 10 11 21:23 37
12 ASF Dioulasso 30 9 10 11 25:31 37
13 Sonabel Ouagadougou 30 8 12 10 24:28 36
14 Etoile Filante 30 7 12 11 22:29 33
15 Bobo-Dioulasso 30 6 9 15 11:28 27
16 AJE Bobo-Dioulasso 30 6 8 16 27:37 26
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)