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SalPa vs Jazz Pori - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Ykkonen Salon urheilupuisto, Salo
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Pulla J.
43'
Voca G.
43'
Lakkamaki J.

AI Match Summary

Jazz Pori in this Ykkonen matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jazz Pori.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
SalPa
15%
Draws
39%
Jazz Pori
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SalPa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • SalPa have won more games recently than Jazz Pori.
  • Model gives SalPa a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ykkonen form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
SalPa Clean Sheet 10%
Jazz Pori Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SalPa Jazz Pori
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 2.17 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Ykkonen
SalPa vs Jazz Pori
0:2
May 28, 2026 Ykkonen
Jazz Pori vs SalPa
1:2
Mar 29, 2025 Club Friendly
SalPa vs Jazz Pori
2:3
Jan 25, 2025 Club Friendly
Jazz Pori vs SalPa
1:0
Sep 10, 2022 Kakkonen Group B
Jazz Pori vs SalPa
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SalPa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Jazz Pori Compare

Top Goalscorer Pulla J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mattila E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SalPa 38 / 100
Jazz Pori 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SalPa Jazz Pori

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SalPa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SalPa found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Jazz Pori conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: SalPa stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SalPa VS Jazz Pori
2.5 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SalPa

(Home)
10 Oct
Keski-Uusimaa
0 : 4
SalPa
26 Sept
RoPS Rovaniemi
3 : 1
SalPa
19 Sept
SalPa
6 : 4
Tampere Utd
12 Sept
SalPa
4 : 3
JJK Jyvaskyla
29 Aug
KuPS Akatemia
1 : 3
SalPa
Page 1 of 6

Jazz Pori

(Away)
26 Sept
TPV
1 : 3
Jazz Pori
19 Sept
Jazz Pori
0 : 2
VJS
11 Sept
Jazz Pori
3 : 0
KPV Kokkola
29 Aug
Jazz Pori
2 : 0
FC Inter Turku 2
23 Aug
VJS
1 : 1
Jazz Pori
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampere Utd 22 13 5 4 47:18 44
2 RoPS Rovaniemi 22 11 7 4 47:32 40
3 SalPa 22 10 6 6 41:35 36
4 Keski-Uusimaa 22 9 8 5 40:30 35
5 OLS Oulu 22 9 7 6 43:35 34
6 JJK Jyvaskyla 22 8 7 7 51:42 31
7 VJS 22 7 10 5 38:31 31
8 Jazz Pori 22 9 6 7 32:29 30
9 TPV 22 6 6 10 30:40 24
10 FC Inter Turku 2 22 5 5 12 32:51 20
11 KuPS Akatemia 22 3 6 13 37:51 15
12 KPV Kokkola 22 4 3 15 24:68 15
Promotion - Ykkonen (Championship Group)
Relegation - Ykkonen (Relegation Group)