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SalPa vs Keski-Uusimaa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Ykkonen Salon urheilupuisto, Salo
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Dementjeff T.
35'
Barraza A.
46'
Sub
Lokake N. In: Norss J.
Out: Lokake N.

AI Match Summary

The Ykkonen game between SalPa and Keski-Uusimaa finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Keski-Uusimaa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
SalPa
15%
Draws
28%
Keski-Uusimaa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SalPa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • SalPa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on SalPa taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Keski-Uusimaa have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
SalPa Clean Sheet 20%
Keski-Uusimaa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SalPa Keski-Uusimaa
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 12
Draws 6 8
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 2.17 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Ykkonen
Keski-Uusimaa vs SalPa
0:4
Jul 25, 2026 Ykkonen
SalPa vs Keski-Uusimaa
0:1
May 2, 2026 Ykkonen
Keski-Uusimaa vs SalPa
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SalPa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Keski-Uusimaa Compare

Top Goalscorer Sivunen J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SalPa 85 / 100
Keski-Uusimaa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SalPa Keski-Uusimaa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SalPa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: SalPa scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Keski-Uusimaa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

SalPa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SalPa VS Keski-Uusimaa
2.5 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

SalPa

(Home)
10 Oct
Keski-Uusimaa
0 : 4
SalPa
26 Sept
RoPS Rovaniemi
3 : 1
SalPa
19 Sept
SalPa
6 : 4
Tampere Utd
12 Sept
SalPa
4 : 3
JJK Jyvaskyla
29 Aug
KuPS Akatemia
1 : 3
SalPa
Page 1 of 6

Keski-Uusimaa

(Away)
10 Oct
Keski-Uusimaa
0 : 4
SalPa
26 Sept
OLS Oulu
3 : 0
Keski-Uusimaa
19 Sept
Keski-Uusimaa
3 : 1
RoPS Rovaniemi
12 Sept
Tampere Utd
3 : 2
Keski-Uusimaa
29 Aug
TPV
0 : 2
Keski-Uusimaa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampere Utd 22 13 5 4 47:18 44
2 RoPS Rovaniemi 22 11 7 4 47:32 40
3 SalPa 22 10 6 6 41:35 36
4 Keski-Uusimaa 22 9 8 5 40:30 35
5 OLS Oulu 22 9 7 6 43:35 34
6 JJK Jyvaskyla 22 8 7 7 51:42 31
7 VJS 22 7 10 5 38:31 31
8 Jazz Pori 22 9 6 7 32:29 30
9 TPV 22 6 6 10 30:40 24
10 FC Inter Turku 2 22 5 5 12 32:51 20
11 KuPS Akatemia 22 3 6 13 37:51 15
12 KPV Kokkola 22 4 3 15 24:68 15
Promotion - Ykkonen (Championship Group)
Relegation - Ykkonen (Relegation Group)